CS2 · resolved market
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b15d5333d423f97c006bd201efa1f083af29819daea189d55219fccb1a4b9ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,359,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $465,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,359,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 2c | 234,949$5,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,172.83 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366d…5bbfbacked Yes | 5c | 97,917$4,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,918.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 5c | 86,931$4,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,375.29 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…f5aabacked Yes | 1c | 54,210$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.79 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes | 1c | 41,250$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.46 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 2c | 33,517$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.82 | 86 | 14%12 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Yes | 1c | 32,952$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.57 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…d801backed Yes | 1c | 32,440$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.28 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…f444backed Yes | 4c | 28,482$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.23 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 3c | 27,829$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.42 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 4c | 23,697$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.2 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…a64fbacked Yes | 8c | 20,650$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.75 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes | 7c | 15,610$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…2ec5backed Yes | 1c | 14,783$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 1c | 14,176$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 148 | 20.3%30 W · 118 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28b8backed Yes | 3c | 13,951$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.27 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…2240backed Yes | 1c | 13,853$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.53 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 12,352$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.22 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…7799backed Yes | 4c | 12,307$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.67 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…5b6fbacked Yes | 1c | 12,184$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 3cpaid | +357%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Yes | 1c | 11,864$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.37 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…d156backed Yes | 4c | 11,529$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Yes | 15c | 11,413$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.59 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked Yes | 1c | 11,097$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.26 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2a…7ce7backed Yes | 9c | 10,804$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 10,509$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…ff61backed Yes | 2c | 10,406$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.92 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…6c5ebacked Yes | 10c | 9,482$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…76cebacked Yes | 2c | 9,340$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.44 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes | 1c | 8,861$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.62 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x159d…5de0backed Yes | 1c | 8,656$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Yes | 8c | 8,500$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.5 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4105…9d06backed Yes | 2c | 8,338$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 8,292$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.31 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Yes | 2c | 8,273$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…25b8backed Yes | 3c | 7,995$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Yes | 5c | 7,291$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…587ebacked Yes | 4c | 6,961$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 1c | 6,916$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 10c | 6,488$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.66 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed Yes | 2c | 6,396$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +155.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Yes | 10c | 6,055$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 167 | 32.9%55 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1728…08f4backed Yes | 2c | 5,925$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…b03cbacked Yes | 5c | 5,882$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,648$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…ca63backed Yes | 8c | 5,500$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…d672backed Yes | 5c | 5,096$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Yes | 9c | 5,000$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.7 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 3c | 4,806$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.57 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…2860backed Yes | 3c | 4,748$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.15 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fa…f946backed Yes | 1c | 4,406$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 12c | 4,148$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.02 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…1a38backed Yes | 2c | 4,102$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.46 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +54%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 16c | 3,918$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.63 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Yes | 11c | 3,907$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.43 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…73a3backed Yes | 1c | 3,724$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,704$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…8c1fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,681$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 10c | 3,570$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.24 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…1a3abacked Yes | 6c | 3,540$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.34 | 83 | 12%10 W · 73 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…1fafbacked Yes | 5c | 3,534$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.68 | 190 | 22.6%43 W · 147 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…20b3backed Yes | 4c | 3,475$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.77 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 1c | 3,429$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…7aa6backed Yes | 12c | 3,377$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d38…b49cbacked Yes | 9c | 3,261$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.30per pick | 36cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8b…9617backed Yes | 9c | 3,204$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0584…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 3,128$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 3,087$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 70 | 0%0 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…c98fbacked Yes | 11c | 3,083$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,000$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0f86backed Yes | 4c | 2,731$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…865dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,687$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +341.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Yes | 12c | 2,614$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.26 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd117…8d48backed Yes | 1c | 2,568$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…d074backed Yes | 3c | 2,515$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.21 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 2,504$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,437$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x385b…b81dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,321$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…f559backed Yes | 5c | 2,311$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Yes | 11c | 2,282$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.41 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…0131backed Yes | 2c | 2,267$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed Yes | 3c | 2,201$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a05…1c7abacked Yes | 2c | 2,200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b9…5221backed Yes | 4c | 2,195$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66a…ca12backed Yes | 5c | 2,128$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Yes | 5c | 2,106$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Yes | 5c | 2,086$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…5e90backed Yes | 5c | 2,046$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…c606backed Yes | 11c | 2,042$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…7c98backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…cac8backed Yes | 2c | 1,952$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef0a…272dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,925$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 7c | 1,849$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Yes | 11c | 1,814$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.24 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,591$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.73 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…1dfbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,583$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788a…a3f7backed Yes | 5c | 1,582$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…28dfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,568$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?this page
- Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Astralis win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will BIG win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will FlyQuest win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Gaimin Gladiators win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will GamerLegion win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will HEROIC win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Lynn Vision win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Monte win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will NRG win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will SINNERS win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Sharks win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will TYLOO win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Thunder downunder win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will paiN win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.