TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x788a…a3f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FaZe Clan Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Aurora Gaming Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will 9z Globant Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+889.1%+$603.75
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.77
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.33
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.58
Will 9z qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+544.5%+$261.37
Will MIBR win CS Asia Championships 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FURIA win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.48
Will Falcons win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.3
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.08
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-56.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thiago Agustin Tirante Win the Cincinnati Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Ben Shelton Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$822.5
Will Cameron Norrie Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Nuno Borges Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.5
Will Alex de Minaur be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Nicolás Jarry be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.23
Will Francisco Cerúndolo be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.42
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-55.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.48
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$134.51
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$202.96
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.