NBA · resolved market
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14dbdb6274de6bcc65ce2b628c6636ff210fd452d095b0f14fdb1d376b31cecf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,199,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,053,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,199,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 652 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Yes | 19c | 91,937$17,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,442.39 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7c…2efdbacked Yes | 24c | 73,963$17,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,751.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Yes | 22c | 66,546$14,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,659.07 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…f0c4backed Yes | 19c | 58,027$10,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,920.98 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 79c | 52,572$41,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,008.09 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Yes | 27c | 47,878$13,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,103.11 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…5134backed No | 76c | 33,724$25,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,093.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 78c | 29,271$22,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,368.74 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed No | 77c | 26,235$20,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,101.12 | 265 | 30.9%82 W · 183 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Yes | 28c | 25,262$7,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,128.31 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…19d0backed No | 76c | 22,037$16,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,288.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed No | 78c | 19,324$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,324.49 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 20c | 18,835$3,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.03 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9645…82efbacked No | 76c | 18,202$13,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked No | 79c | 14,654$11,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.36 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 9c | 12,696$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.96 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…93ecbacked Yes | 8c | 10,153$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.31 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 79c | 9,970$7,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.89 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked Yes | 20c | 9,784$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 74c | 8,938$6,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa54…c182backed Yes | 17c | 8,437$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.09 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 3c | 7,923$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.76 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Yes | 40c | 7,629$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,031.62 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Yes | 30c | 6,259$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.58 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…f19cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 16c | 5,294$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.58 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 21c | 5,120$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.53 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.98 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked No | 74c | 4,998$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.71 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad7…7608backed Yes | 27c | 4,800$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.94 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked Yes | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…759bbacked Yes | 20c | 4,679$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.7 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…e04abacked Yes | 9c | 4,531$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 18cpaid | +167.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 4,527$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbf…06d4backed Yes | 20c | 4,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Yes | 20c | 4,476$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.06 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…34e5backed Yes | 20c | 4,441$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 14c | 4,338$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.3 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Yes | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.98 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed No | 80c | 3,883$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Yes | 16c | 3,851$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes | 25c | 3,759$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,487$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…ea7abacked Yes | 21c | 3,333$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 17c | 3,171$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.64 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 15c | 2,880$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.67 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3c…1734backed Yes | 24c | 2,624$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,595$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.45 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.65 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Yes | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…1d4cbacked Yes | 19c | 2,500$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bb…3ae8backed Yes | 20c | 2,324$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Yes | 19c | 2,292$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fca…7477backed Yes | 21c | 2,228$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.47 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb9…e983backed Yes | 21c | 2,202$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes | 18c | 2,182$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…5b5abacked No | 80c | 2,149$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 19c | 2,128$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.78 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 22c | 1,969$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…1efbbacked Yes | 20c | 1,956$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…1177backed Yes | 20c | 1,955$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Yes | 6c | 1,917$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.04 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…37cabacked Yes | 18c | 1,911$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.01 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,900$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.5 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…b9d3backed Yes | 20c | 1,887$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bb…8212backed Yes | 22c | 1,881$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…5172backed Yes | 20c | 1,833$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81d…301ebacked No | 80c | 1,815$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 13c | 1,773$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.54 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Yes | 20c | 1,728$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.56 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e4…07e4backed Yes | 20c | 1,648$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 80c | 1,644$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.04 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x739e…d340backed Yes | 20c | 1,624$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…02b7backed No | 80c | 1,609$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea06…9474backed Yes | 20c | 1,595$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7167…8884backed Yes | 20c | 1,585$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 10c | 1,577$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.55 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccd3…49d3backed Yes | 20c | 1,543$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6361…a45abacked Yes | 20c | 1,523$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…2420backed Yes | 23c | 1,516$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.36 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa34c…64afbacked Yes | 20c | 1,484$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ced…ac2cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,464$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…8016backed No | 69c | 1,406$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.14 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed No | 61c | 1,400$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 17c | 1,395$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.77 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…1428backed Yes | 20c | 1,391$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…1162backed Yes | 20c | 1,371$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 23c | 1,361$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.83 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9377backed Yes | 20c | 1,351$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 16c | 1,349$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.59 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801f…a8ffbacked Yes | 21c | 1,330$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 12cpaid | +518.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x483f…4b98backed Yes | 20c | 1,328$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…0daebacked Yes | 18c | 1,308$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.46 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Yes | 18c | 1,303$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.37 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Yes | 25c | 1,276$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…0234backed Yes | 20c | 1,269$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…7eb3backed Yes | 21c | 1,257$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 1,238$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.43 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10c2…0aa3backed No | 80c | 1,237$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.