TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,230,224
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,266,057

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,230,224 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 910 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16ce…eba1backed Yes2c62,604$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.455316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes3c37,931$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.75240%0 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9aa…5d3fbacked Yes3c33,236$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.0730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22c9…b82bbacked Yes3c26,634$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes1c23,115$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.53718.9%7 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd54e…d9c9backed Yes4c22,533$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes3c21,958$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.92378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4968…3fedbacked Yes3c20,556$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9812…95d9backed Yes3c19,165$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.0140%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd84c…9956backed Yes2c18,661$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cd2…4b07backed Yes2c18,153$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9afc…b3b9backed Yes2c18,059$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…5583backed Yes3c17,669$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79e6…0aa5backed Yes3c17,638$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.5920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ba2…3ad2backed Yes3c17,560$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.8320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb622…c542backed Yes3c17,433$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cf…60cabacked Yes3c17,269$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8804…884dbacked Yes3c17,116$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a0c…987abacked Yes4c17,056$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.9620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20fb…7b19backed Yes3c16,980$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7654…2928backed Yes3c16,824$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.4230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f4…afafbacked Yes6c16,806$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5680…a8b4backed Yes4c16,734$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587d…5aabbacked Yes3c16,699$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0708…2937backed Yes3c16,651$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.3430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ce…24b0backed Yes3c16,545$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x468b…0186backed Yes2c16,475$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f2…2f9abacked Yes3c16,437$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.2420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a3…c061backed Yes4c16,336$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cbc…334bbacked Yes3c16,310$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc665…2381backed Yes3c16,222$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfc…7088backed Yes3c16,165$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9971…aef6backed Yes3c16,076$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ee…90a3backed Yes2c15,918$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes3c15,843$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.13333%1 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e66…8bdabacked Yes3c14,386$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.5550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x18e7…06c8backed Yes5c14,235$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes3c14,083$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.2760834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe626…6771backed Yes1c14,067$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd7…32d9backed Yes3c13,834$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes4c13,771$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.24263.8%1 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x923e…c95dbacked Yes4c13,460$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a34…7721backed Yes2c13,163$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.3140%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes1c12,697$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4138239.5%151 W · 231 L+35.9wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+15.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd602…b9a8backed Yes3c12,310$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc429…51bcbacked Yes3c12,191$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d2…2bebbacked Yes3c12,102$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39ad…5420backed Yes5c12,036$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dff…b87ebacked Yes4c11,840$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x917c…a7debacked Yes3c11,536$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.7830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64be…3fb7backed Yes4c11,497$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.2120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4590…2c3abacked Yes2c11,433$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe039…9aa5backed Yes3c11,164$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf856…8347backed Yes4c11,075$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes1c11,030$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.55213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2815…f32ebacked Yes3c10,958$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.6620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb6…c49ebacked Yes4c10,727$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.4330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe1…ce33backed Yes3c10,672$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4256…4134backed Yes5c10,103$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.3830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ff…8a7bbacked Yes4c10,026$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a4b…4f43backed Yes4c9,863$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.0640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4192…059abacked Yes3c9,695$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+1,119.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef16…6257backed Yes4c9,619$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.4930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84b4…9899backed Yes3c9,486$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.3230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…059fbacked Yes2c9,420$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec0b…8b45backed Yes3c9,355$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3383…f2b3backed Yes3c9,353$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e28…30bdbacked Yes3c9,204$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5c…662abacked Yes3c9,182$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e9…08b7backed Yes5c9,181$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.8140%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09dc…0ffabacked Yes3c9,111$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb3a…11a2backed Yes2c9,085$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7fb…afc8backed Yes2c9,085$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f32…fc47backed Yes3c9,042$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.3430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7939…f095backed Yes4c9,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b37…4591backed Yes4c8,993$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d64…738ebacked Yes2c8,985$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.225337.7%20 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ed…7a08backed Yes3c8,980$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd95a…606ebacked Yes3c8,980$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01b2…fdedbacked Yes2c8,943$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3030…4d1ebacked Yes2c8,943$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…67d3backed Yes3c8,939$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5571…6ed0backed Yes6c8,930$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb314…31bbbacked Yes3c8,920$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb002…f953backed Yes3c8,920$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ec1…73c6backed Yes3c8,917$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e98…8a3dbacked Yes6c8,913$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5973…7307backed Yes3c8,910$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.3920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae0…d3a5backed Yes5c8,905$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13aa…b1e2backed Yes3c8,845$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe54…a16dbacked Yes3c8,811$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ba8…5f46backed Yes3c8,811$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x353f…e245backed Yes3c8,801$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.8320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9804…3d16backed Yes4c8,779$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe016…dde1backed Yes4c8,779$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3405…8047backed Yes4c8,743$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bb4…0ab7backed Yes3c8,737$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cd…a6b1backed Yes3c8,737$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff5…5e66backed Yes4c8,736$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.1830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc88d…6527backed Yes3c8,683$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.2420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.