NBA · resolved market
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d2a697437b1093ad06d6a74c6fb5a2a499b15d7e895500b5153f66bfaa0e602
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $338,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yes | 1c | 57,899$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.52 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes | 4c | 24,264$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.63 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…c575backed Yes | 5c | 18,320$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 3c | 13,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.4 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…bdf3backed Yes | 1c | 10,577$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…2f88backed Yes | 1c | 10,577$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 1c | 6,251$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Yes | 3c | 4,141$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,857$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 3c | 3,600$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Yes | 4c | 3,242$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.22 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…49b1backed Yes | 2c | 2,893$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb158…d295backed Yes | 2c | 2,854$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…429abacked Yes | 3c | 2,712$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb633…0dd5backed Yes | 7c | 2,703$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb5…11babacked Yes | 3c | 2,494$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…41c9backed Yes | 5c | 2,201$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.54 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…845fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,994$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cb…572fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,982$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 3c | 1,936$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Yes | 3c | 1,900$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 3c | 1,829$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…feb6backed Yes | 17c | 1,788$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55c8…b44ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,767$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,705$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…8e63backed Yes | 3c | 1,702$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Yes | 6c | 1,597$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc361…1627backed Yes | 2c | 1,581$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Yes | 4c | 1,411$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…201ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,324$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 1,313$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8ee4backed Yes | 3c | 1,309$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…4a05backed Yes | 2c | 1,295$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c8…315abacked Yes | 2c | 1,244$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…f082backed Yes | 3c | 1,155$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…3b63backed Yes | 2c | 1,113$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 1,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Yes | 7c | 1,081$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 3c | 1,048$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b05…3d22backed Yes | 2c | 1,002$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 996.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 3c | 994.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb14…f690backed Yes | 2c | 926.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes | 4c | 904.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe610…f8d8backed Yes | 6c | 863.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 2c | 818.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d6…58f0backed Yes | 2c | 762.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…89a0backed Yes | 4c | 652.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4efe…0218backed Yes | 2c | 588$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf2…8bf0backed Yes | 4c | 579$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb9…e983backed Yes | 4c | 569.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8689…c12bbacked Yes | 3c | 529.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes | 2c | 496$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Yes | 3c | 462$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Yes | 3c | 444.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bd…b422backed Yes | 5c | 343$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e93…0078backed Yes | 3c | 331.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Yes | 5c | 319.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 5c | 298.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9725backed Yes | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 5c | 229.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 5c | 229$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…4d16backed Yes | 6c | 222.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b97…41edbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9d…ea86backed Yes | 6c | 156.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed Yes | 15c | 134.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…4992backed Yes | 31c | 54.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?this page
- Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.