NBA · resolved market
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85f3e001ffe2a24f985b939460d0cc22041d47107ed8c681f75abb6a5bd1d1d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,859,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,508,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,859,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 522 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5e2…c1a7backed Yes | 0c | 226,651$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 2c | 192,046$3,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,843.05 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…57d9backed Yes | 20c | 148,318$29,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,869.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 3c | 108,421$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.6 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 12c | 54,490$6,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,436.13 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Yes | 13c | 50,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 28c | 31,550$8,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,828.43 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 23c | 27,407$6,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,355.59 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…2fadbacked Yes | 30c | 26,376$7,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,912.72 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes | 1c | 21,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.01 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Yes | 23c | 20,709$4,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,753.62 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Yes | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 71c | 19,113$13,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,548.33 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Yes | 0c | 18,333$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 78c | 16,773$13,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,765.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed No | 72c | 15,435$11,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,296.26 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 75c | 15,102$11,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,747.43 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yes | 0c | 14,746$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes | 23c | 14,746$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…7b0dbacked Yes | 22c | 13,100$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 22c | 13,067$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.93 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked No | 72c | 12,936$9,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,588.51 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914d…41cabacked Yes | 2c | 12,739$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.57 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…cdb1backed Yes | 16c | 12,600$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 17c | 12,598$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.11 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Yes | 21c | 10,823$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.08 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…4960backed Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…8cd5backed No | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 19c | 9,938$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 9,161$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.4 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…f055backed Yes | 23c | 9,050$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…8016backed Yes | 29c | 7,747$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.6 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 10c | 6,999$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.87 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad7…7608backed Yes | 26c | 6,762$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.02 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Yes | 23c | 6,204$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.85 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…8a37backed Yes | 21c | 6,187$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 20c | 6,011$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.56 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0f…8de9backed Yes | 10c | 5,882$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Yes | 24c | 5,766$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.61 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 20c | 5,148$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.16 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 18c | 5,089$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.12 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 13c | 5,000$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.44 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…e3c9backed Yes | 22c | 4,981$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.64 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 67c | 4,916$3,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.78 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 15c | 4,792$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.34 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Yes | 15c | 4,499$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.34 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc68f…8fc2backed Yes | 13c | 4,256$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd0…d6ffbacked Yes | 25c | 4,034$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad9…7ad0backed Yes | 17c | 3,893$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.59 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked Yes | 26c | 3,854$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.12 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a19…961ebacked No | 78c | 3,650$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Yes | 9c | 3,362$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 22c | 3,361$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.39 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…fed0backed No | 78c | 3,300$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0376…da89backed No | 78c | 3,230$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 19c | 3,172$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.3 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Yes | 27c | 3,000$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.84 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed Yes | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Yes | 19c | 2,936$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.82 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69d…447dbacked No | 78c | 2,920$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 7c | 2,801$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.94 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…d942backed Yes | 22c | 2,727$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yes | 13c | 2,603$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.36 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…3a96backed Yes | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Yes | 36c | 2,231$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…e702backed Yes | 1c | 2,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…685abacked Yes | 18c | 2,196$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.34 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes | 20c | 2,149$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 18c | 2,117$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.67 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…8497backed Yes | 2c | 2,024$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,000$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,991$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.73 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Yes | 23c | 1,959$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.48 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 4c | 1,926$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 22c | 1,900$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.91 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304e…bdf0backed Yes | 17c | 1,827$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.9 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 21c | 1,795$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.53 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,781$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 440 | 40.5%178 W · 262 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked No | 78c | 1,718$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.99 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes | 17c | 1,695$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.72 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 12c | 1,621$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.26 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 23c | 1,568$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.37 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…b227backed Yes | 50c | 1,521$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.97 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…5681backed Yes | 15c | 1,505$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfd…57bcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 27c | 1,471$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 80c | 1,453$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.77 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Yes | 21c | 1,428$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,404$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.79 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Yes | 18c | 1,400$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.73 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Yes | 15c | 1,390$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…51d6backed Yes | 23c | 1,388$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.53 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 24c | 1,386$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.68 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,323$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 96 | 9.4%9 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.