TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,859,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,508,231

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,859,479 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 522 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd5e2…c1a7backed Yes0c226,651$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.981145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes2c192,046$3,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,843.051947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeba7…57d9backed Yes20c148,318$29,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,869.71616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-59.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes3c108,421$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.646426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes12c54,490$6,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,436.133718.9%7 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Yes13c50,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,500633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes28c31,550$8,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,828.4313642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes23c27,407$6,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,355.593259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a35…2fadbacked Yes30c26,376$7,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,912.723138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes1c21,429$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.011,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Yes23c20,709$4,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,753.6211447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Yes32c20,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,40010248%49 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No71c19,113$13,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,548.3325753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Yes0c18,333$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557115.5%11 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No78c16,773$13,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,765.49955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed No72c15,435$11,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,296.265352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No75c15,102$11,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,747.431,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Yes0c14,746$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6644821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes23c14,746$3,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,397.491540%6 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3b…7b0dbacked Yes22c13,100$2,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,88210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Yes22c13,067$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.9314727.9%41 W · 106 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95ac…3f7cbacked No72c12,936$9,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,588.513745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x914d…41cabacked Yes2c12,739$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.576131.1%19 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x479b…cdb1backed Yes16c12,600$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0221136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+67.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes17c12,598$2,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,197.112,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Yes21c10,823$2,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,252.081,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b5c…4960backed Yes13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c05…8cd5backed No78c10,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick63cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes19c9,938$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,91140448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes17c9,161$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.484443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Yes23c9,050$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0461910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick13cpaid+58.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725b…8016backed Yes29c7,747$2,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,232.68143.2%35 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Yes10c6,999$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.875728.1%16 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad7…7608backed Yes26c6,762$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.021816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+68.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Yes23c6,204$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.8514443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c7f…8a37backed Yes21c6,187$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3261216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-67.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes20c6,011$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.562433.3%8 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0f…8de9backed Yes10c5,882$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Yes24c5,766$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.6127547.6%131 W · 144 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes20c5,148$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.1622750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes18c5,089$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.1222140.3%89 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Yes13c5,000$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.442835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0129…e3c9backed Yes22c4,981$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.642751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+28.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No67c4,916$3,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.7889444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes15c4,792$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.348636%31 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Yes15c4,499$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.3454853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc68f…8fc2backed Yes13c4,256$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd0…d6ffbacked Yes25c4,034$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad9…7ad0backed Yes17c3,893$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.591520%3 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+138.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Yes26c3,854$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.1231540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a19…961ebacked No78c3,650$2,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8031100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Yes9c3,362$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.25339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7187…f08bbacked Yes22c3,361$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.392326.1%6 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc23…fed0backed No78c3,300$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0376…da89backed No78c3,230$2,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes19c3,172$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.31,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Yes27c3,000$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.8434942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed Yes26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Yes19c2,936$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.8264651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb69d…447dbacked No78c2,920$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes7c2,801$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.942,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781e…d942backed Yes22c2,727$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Yes13c2,603$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.3617250%86 W · 86 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ee3…cab9backed Yes2c2,500$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.35119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-72.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b0c…3a96backed Yes22c2,500$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5503129%9 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9905…add3backed Yes36c2,231$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0bd…e702backed Yes1c2,200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+110.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6012…685abacked Yes18c2,196$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.342634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes20c2,149$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43817848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes18c2,117$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.674429.5%13 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…8497backed Yes2c2,024$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked Yes20c2,000$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.91333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Yes2c2,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200646.3%4 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes15c2,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3106352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes17c1,991$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.7320536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Yes23c1,959$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.4816635.5%59 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes4c1,926$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.933010%3 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-49.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Yes22c1,900$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.9120558.5%120 W · 85 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x304e…bdf0backed Yes17c1,827$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.96026.7%16 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes21c1,795$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.534528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Yes17c1,781$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9944040.5%178 W · 262 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked No78c1,718$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.9918452.7%97 W · 87 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes17c1,695$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.7236748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Yes30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007142.3%30 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes12c1,621$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.2639435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes23c1,568$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.3720050.5%101 W · 99 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5226…b227backed Yes50c1,521$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.972240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d82…5681backed Yes15c1,505$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.87850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbfd…57bcbacked Yes2c1,500$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.05812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+102.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes27c1,471$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40111743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No80c1,453$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.778853.4%47 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Yes21c1,428$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8845850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Yes21c1,404$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.796357.1%36 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Yes18c1,400$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.7310954.1%59 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Yes15c1,390$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.55836.2%21 W · 37 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa58f…51d6backed Yes23c1,388$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.5327248.5%132 W · 140 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Yes24c1,386$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.6825143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes30c1,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40026934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes2c1,323$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.52969.4%9 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.