NBA · resolved market
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00a9dd3c3174468e2cee6ffa418dbf9b7e95c09788c281f608e496b9fef7b895
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,946 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 28,104$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…bb3fbacked Yes | 1c | 13,063$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c11…778fbacked Yes | 0c | 4,684$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d2…6a7fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,643$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,518$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f0…3196backed Yes | 1c | 2,215$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2efc…5686backed Yes | 1c | 2,165$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.28per pick | 40cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,604$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,507$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b79…734cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,388$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…1856backed Yes | 2c | 1,031$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…41c9backed Yes | 7c | 789.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…69babacked Yes | 9c | 672.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b7…1e34backed Yes | 3c | 316.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Yes | 8c | 309.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…4d16backed Yes | 5c | 229.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Yes | 12c | 172.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.