TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,014,824
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$942,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,014,824 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde48…30e7backed Yes7c61,481$4,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,101.25333%1 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d64…738ebacked Yes7c40,180$2,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,651.265337.7%20 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbad7…7608backed Yes4c26,869$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.381816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+68.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes5c23,505$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.29240%0 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24c1…54b0backed Yes6c21,754$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.154327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Yes10c20,091$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.727547.6%131 W · 144 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes1c14,717$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.689618.8%18 W · 78 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes6c12,280$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.673718.9%7 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Yes9c11,320$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.2711447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd56…becdbacked Yes0c10,276$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-50.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Yes7c10,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73010049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes3c9,095$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.995715.8%9 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c8,909$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.14844.8%4 W · 80 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+489.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5b…a891backed Yes1c7,979$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.543125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Yes8c7,861$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.6322039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes3c7,553$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.3595641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb895…e4afbacked Yes13c7,000$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.994445.5%20 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe506…7c70backed Yes3c6,760$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Yes1c6,212$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3755316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes11c6,181$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65111743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Yes3c6,015$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.51910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick13cpaid+58.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2533…a9a0backed Yes10c5,916$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes6c5,892$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.811639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc2…89a0backed Yes9c5,172$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.767830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c5,148$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5439435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b0…9fb0backed Yes9c5,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes2c4,541$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.25128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-85.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes7c4,535$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.02263.8%1 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x390d…350bbacked Yes1c4,329$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.692010%2 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-81.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes5c4,219$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.8760834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes7c4,045$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1320536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x502b…08b8backed Yes16c4,022$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c3,954$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.171,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x293b…5d33backed Yes4c3,762$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.33190%0 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ddd…f97ebacked Yes15c3,625$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.322420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc29…7774backed Yes10c3,592$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.121040%4 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+252%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes5c3,511$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.4234.3%1 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb9…e983backed Yes3c3,330$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55c8…b44ebacked Yes2c3,237$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.063036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c3,027$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.35590%0 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes4c2,988$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5720050.5%101 W · 99 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Yes6c2,960$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.48333.7%28 W · 55 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf31a…8fbcbacked Yes3c2,858$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4740%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes0c2,675$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.63224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid-30.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Yes2c2,663$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8720650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Yes4c2,503$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2525143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes8c2,499$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.82010%2 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-25.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e66…41e7backed Yes1c2,375$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.38230%0 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd7…8772backed Yes17c1,988$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes2c1,750$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3924334.2%83 W · 160 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0e…35f8backed Yes2c1,750$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7524846.8%116 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…a956backed Yes1c1,675$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78b9…4850backed Yes13c1,648$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ce…3c4abacked Yes2c1,633$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5270…ad65backed Yes2c1,624$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42fd…5da5backed Yes2c1,622$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d5…7a9fbacked Yes15c1,600$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.0940%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…d538backed Yes1c1,525$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.292429.2%7 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick14cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82ba…0a52backed Yes3c1,500$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.62832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes2c1,432$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.938239.5%151 W · 231 L+35.9wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+15.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x04ec…580fbacked Yes4c1,406$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.795756.1%32 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x481a…8ee4backed Yes3c1,400$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.47185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85c…ed6bbacked Yes2c1,380$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82200%0 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20c6…a0e5backed Yes3c1,342$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick6cpaid+71.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3514…5993backed Yes7c1,338$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Yes8c1,335$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1072931%9 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…73e5backed Yes1c1,300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.710015%15 W · 85 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes8c1,213$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4336748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5554…b12dbacked Yes7c1,212$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.53140%0 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58fc…0752backed Yes5c1,211$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe332…7855backed Yes2c1,208$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+421.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8cb…714fbacked Yes1c1,200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x233e…8583backed Yes5c1,186$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.94100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b01…95a9backed Yes1c1,156$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.05140%0 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes5c1,153$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.813138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e2d…5116backed Yes9c1,148$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes3c1,127$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4340448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea3…466bbacked Yes2c1,123$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.162941.4%12 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes2c1,109$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252611.5%3 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+112.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd739…25b1backed Yes7c1,093$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.38825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+219.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x539d…0213backed Yes6c1,075$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.471827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes8c1,046$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.712,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes6c1,027$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7515010%15 W · 135 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes3c1,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Yes5c1,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4819747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781e…d942backed Yes3c1,000$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes4c960.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3422.4%1 W · 41 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-17.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2534…41c9backed Yes5c952.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.674520%9 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6363…b44fbacked Yes14c872.66$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes13c842.72$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3413642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba0…811dbacked Yes6c840.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162e…fe52backed Yes2c837$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea7…bcd9backed Yes13c824.86$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.113141.9%13 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c11…778fbacked Yes2c824.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.82100%0 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb930…7512backed Yes2c818.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.922222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e9…ee46backed Yes13c807.89$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.29580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+41.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3f8…2515backed Yes7c768.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed Yes4c763$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.543141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e4…92bbbacked Yes11c725.61$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4339…e1fabacked Yes14c709.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+81.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.