TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ba0…811d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Olympics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$41.22
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$57.48
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.59
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.93
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.2
VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.44
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.7
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.13
Spread: Suns (-12.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.48
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+57%+$54.18
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$53
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$23.25
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$23.08
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.36
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.9
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
LoL: French Flair vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.48
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winnerbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.81
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winnerbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$21.78
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Gbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$63
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$67
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$97.68
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+81.4%+$81.37
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.06
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+102%+$51.02
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+54.5%+$68.55
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.06
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Bucharest Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alex Michelsen vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.7
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.19
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luca Van Assche vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Menorca: Matteo Martineau vs Pedro Vives Marcosbacked Matteo Martineau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$42.28
Credit One Charleston Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Dalma Galfibacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$42.84
Copa Colsanitas: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Despina Papamichailbacked Despina Papamichail · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.42
Miami Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$34.94
Miami Open: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51.22
Miami Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$106.56
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Alexandra Ealabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+40.8%+$23.69
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.32
Flyers vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.38
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Avalanche vs. Penguinsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Senators vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.99
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Flyers vs. Wildbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$87.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-60.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+110.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.83
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.14
All 3 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$17.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.