TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2 Esportsof Karmine Corp, G2 Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$615,087
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$755,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $615,087 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc840…16d6backed Karmine Corp1c43,402$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.88422.4%1 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-92.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Karmine Corp39c27,714$10,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,739.531,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed Karmine Corp51c14,305$7,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,366.6825547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Karmine Corp2c10,818$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.661,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked Karmine Corp1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Karmine Corp70c9,805$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,900.0241644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Karmine Corp60c9,130$5,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,464.0966437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed G2 Esports42c9,083$3,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,297.1325446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed G2 Esports55c7,561$4,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,367.6714644.5%65 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Karmine Corp53c7,012$3,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,715.4749940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Karmine Corp58c6,229$3,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,585.561942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf9…5b10backed G2 Esports44c6,011$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,386.66238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b86…36eabacked Karmine Corp7c5,340$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.22825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-55.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e7…4704backed Karmine Corp33c4,309$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.32850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed G2 Esports42c4,305$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.123,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed G2 Esports42c4,144$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,403.4434837.4%130 W · 218 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed G2 Esports49c4,074$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.8185442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed Karmine Corp58c3,779$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.1336943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Karmine Corp57c3,706$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.3443151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ad…4c93backed Karmine Corp25c3,563$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.582958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked G2 Esports50c3,549$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,785.7428166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Karmine Corp46c3,512$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.571,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Karmine Corp2c3,263$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8163352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed G2 Esports49c3,178$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.9385652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Karmine Corp41c3,033$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.5325952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed G2 Esports42c3,028$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.231,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Karmine Corp67c3,013$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.6570162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Karmine Corp30c3,000$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.681,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Karmine Corp30c2,863$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.6149549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5419…fcb2backed G2 Esports47c2,595$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.163357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed G2 Esports59c2,444$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.261,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Karmine Corp50c2,379$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.6242840.2%172 W · 256 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed G2 Esports77c2,370$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.471,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed G2 Esports42c2,368$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.291,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde0c…a715backed G2 Esports80c2,245$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.3225269.8%176 W · 76 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Karmine Corp57c2,169$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.413850%19 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Karmine Corp2c2,125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0939851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88bc…66d6backed G2 Esports49c2,030$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Karmine Corp16c2,000$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3241,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb91…7db6backed Karmine Corp8c1,940$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16030348.8%148 W · 155 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Karmine Corp45c1,859$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.3843947.6%209 W · 230 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Karmine Corp58c1,847$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.261,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Karmine Corp58c1,800$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.2885746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked G2 Esports41c1,787$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.761,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Karmine Corp45c1,700$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.2948353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Karmine Corp10c1,655$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.81,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked G2 Esports29c1,639$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.526241.9%26 W · 36 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked G2 Esports42c1,600$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92875942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Karmine Corp34c1,578$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.3553640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked Karmine Corp51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7652227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d75…5cacbacked Karmine Corp72c1,488$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.25922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.38per pick61cpaid-66.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Karmine Corp36c1,456$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.881,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Karmine Corp13c1,406$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.751,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d98…7e3fbacked G2 Esports73c1,400$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.312254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a50…8ca2backed Karmine Corp56c1,260$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Karmine Corp14c1,200$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16833736.5%123 W · 214 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf14…502abacked G2 Esports43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-42.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Karmine Corp47c1,169$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.281,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed G2 Esports58c1,156$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.8269756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed G2 Esports52c1,102$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.981,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Karmine Corp57c1,100$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6272,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Karmine Corp44c1,084$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.8345344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4991…d4dcbacked Karmine Corp1c1,070$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.73112.9%4 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+331.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed G2 Esports58c1,010$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.7824065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed G2 Esports28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Karmine Corp44c1,000$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.0345739.6%181 W · 276 L-37.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7e0…0d61backed Karmine Corp25c1,000$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2492330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Karmine Corp16c963$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.131,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed G2 Esports42c900$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52271249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed Karmine Corp64c857.82$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.229856.4%168 W · 130 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Karmine Corp59c807.95$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.6915953.5%85 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked Karmine Corp2c807.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.951766.3%11 W · 165 L-0.5wins0.00per pick7cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed G2 Esports43c704.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.5513557%77 W · 58 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked Karmine Corp56c700$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.61729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-38.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Karmine Corp58c669.87$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3871,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked G2 Esports57c668.4$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.988056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca6b…9c23backed G2 Esports30c662.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.09714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-52.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed G2 Esports44c657.99$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.792,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb3…8689backed Karmine Corp52c644.79$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.656361.9%39 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb99a…1300backed Karmine Corp60c636.52$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.331844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 Esports47c617.25$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.882,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Esports61c612.01$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.272,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf4e…e3a2backed Karmine Corp5c600.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.984012.5%5 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-52%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Karmine Corp73c600$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43823657.2%135 W · 101 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed G2 Esports43c580.67$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.441,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked G2 Esports49c559.18$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.1896057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Karmine Corp10c556.4$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.341,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Karmine Corp56c530.46$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.061,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed G2 Esports79c518.11$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1786758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Karmine Corp10c505.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5063448.1%305 W · 329 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de7…f96dbacked Karmine Corp3c500$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcbe…e27ebacked G2 Esports80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Karmine Corp58c497.6$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.6146552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ff…59d3backed G2 Esports53c492.42$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.715343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed G2 Esports44c447.04$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.021,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Karmine Corp22c430.47$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8248042.3%203 W · 277 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Esports50c422.26$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.212,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Karmine Corp54c418.89$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22639450.3%198 W · 196 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked G2 Esports42c409$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.2222250.5%112 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Karmine Corp64c400$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.2550569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.