Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50fc051d3b1c5c5c878925476e835a1fbb4a83fddcb740495d349a800641ba19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 49c | 506.88$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.51 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 47c | 294.81$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.25 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…8a1bbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…054cbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…d393backed Under | 51c | 184.14$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.14 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 133.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…839cbacked Over | 54c | 120.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…9a6ebacked Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x706a…0d4abacked Over | 53c | 113.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 50c | 105$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…6eadbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 51c | 98.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba5f…0fc3backed Over | 53c | 94.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…fbe8backed Over | 53c | 75.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…2badbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 48c | 60.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked Over | 52c | 38.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 244 | 53.3%130 W · 114 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Under | 33c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Over | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…756dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Under | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e20…3b66backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.