TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e20…3b66

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Middle East at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1687.5%14 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick69cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.6
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.6
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Hawks vs. Pelicansbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+44.9%+$9.3
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Thunder vs. Mavericksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$9
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$16.71
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+35.2%+$38.47
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+152.2%+$48.28
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.7
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffsbacked SU Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.53
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO1)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$14.85
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+25%+$6
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$38.12
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.55
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.8
Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.3
Real Madrid CF vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.45
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$27.64
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.76
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$25.2
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29.1
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.14
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+138.1%+$20.3
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Jack Draper vs Reilly Opelkabacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.73
Miami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinnbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
Miami Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Miami Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Dubai Tennis Championships: Quentin Halys vs Jack Draperbacked Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+37%+$16.2
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Open de Moselle: Jan Choinski vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+87.5%+$18.67
Rolex Paris Masters: Jacob Fearnley vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Reilly Opelka vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-54.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$17.2
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.5
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.4
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+78.6%+$52.37
All 5 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.47per pick67cpaid-71%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+89.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+112.8%+$31.8
Women's Final - USA vs. Canadabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+112.8%+$15.58
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+43.3%+$37.66
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.3
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+36.7%+$22.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senegal vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.