TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Sabres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Wild, Sabres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,057,738
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,103,200

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,057,738 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 623 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d89…a2febacked Sabres54c231,657$124,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124,341.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+58.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Sabres54c166,975$90,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,589.51,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Wild46c129,754$60,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,703.5348549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Wild46c117,726$54,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,571.7956152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb0…d8b6backed Wild47c98,511$46,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,210.641040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Sabres53c90,000$47,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,70067051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Sabres54c50,000$27,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,999.8913449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Wild47c42,438$19,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,560.241,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Wild47c42,324$19,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,431.959548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Wild45c36,787$16,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,232.9626849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ae…3020backed Sabres55c36,538$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0001850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Sabres54c30,000$16,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,30025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d8a…e842backed Wild47c29,787$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,787.232458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wild46c22,500$10,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,1501,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Wild47c15,730$7,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,272.271,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Sabres0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1538748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe124…322ebacked Sabres0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Wild46c8,696$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,695.654856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Wild46c8,600$3,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,669.9883652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Wild46c8,326$3,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,495.8361953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecd6…5284backed Sabres0c8,280$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.14520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-59.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Wild46c7,901$3,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,285.5552050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Wild45c6,500$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5751,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ae…35e5backed Wild45c6,350$2,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,492.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Wild46c6,325$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,415.2693953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Wild46c6,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,24012245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Sabres52c5,769$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Wild45c5,523$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,037.6515949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Wild64c5,431$3,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.2561748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sabres33c5,071$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.0989636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Wild45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,75066951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Sabres53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65033652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985f…43c6backed Sabres55c4,850$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd6…400ebacked Sabres55c4,800$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,64010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Wild45c4,800$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.9963249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200c…58eabacked Wild45c4,444$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.443764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Wild46c4,082$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.2726058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Wild46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Wild47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12027548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb603…754bbacked Wild48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0803740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Wild45c4,000$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.9854047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Wild52c3,860$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.311553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres53c3,605$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.981,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Wild47c3,552$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.5630551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Sabres54c3,496$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.8919051.1%97 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Wild59c3,439$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.157157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wild46c3,320$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.562,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb2…7535backed Wild45c3,310$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Wild46c3,257$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.8839047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Wild47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.4931550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wild46c3,136$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.181,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Wild45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.9929651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Sabres55c2,831$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.275853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wild44c2,797$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.441,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Sabres55c2,666$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.386649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wild45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,37560249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sabres45c2,436$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.662,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Sabres35c2,355$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.4843742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3d…726fbacked Sabres54c2,212$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.691233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e58…3864backed Wild45c2,160$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1886246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b60…82e5backed Sabres55c2,159$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Sabres52c2,158$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1227358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0e…3576backed Wild45c2,145$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Sabres47c2,109$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00032151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b43…8ebdbacked Wild51c2,081$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.311560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Wild46c2,000$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Sabres55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1003246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Wild45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1002955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sabres54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb763…247dbacked Wild46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.971650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wild51c1,979$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.1543743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Wild48c1,900$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.736157.4%35 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf65…f5ffbacked Sabres54c1,848$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sabres52c1,848$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.992,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sabres52c1,790$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.122,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Sabres55c1,719$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94641248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Wild46c1,673$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.3722852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b17…dfddbacked Sabres55c1,612$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d7…42c0backed Wild44c1,600$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Sabres1c1,555$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.557450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Sabres52c1,538$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Sabres54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81010848.1%52 W · 56 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaf3…617abacked Wild46c1,498$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.921060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a61…76d1backed Sabres54c1,498$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.92650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9a…6d7dbacked Wild46c1,497$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.381250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Wild45c1,496$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.7262249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…b257backed Wild46c1,494$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.761145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf856…3477backed Wild46c1,494$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.761070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc630…7eacbacked Sabres54c1,494$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.76944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x045b…595fbacked Wild46c1,488$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb95c…5216backed Sabres54c1,488$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6838…0777backed Wild46c1,487$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.98977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x079d…fb52backed Sabres54c1,486$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0673…406cbacked Wild46c1,485$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.9875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x719e…7ad4backed Sabres54c1,485$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0663…ed98backed Wild46c1,485$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb4…b2d3backed Sabres54c1,485$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa6…28e2backed Sabres54c1,475$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ff2…3d4cbacked Wild46c1,475$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.51090%9 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick56cpaid+67.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.