NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x215cf1ddb419eb8b4cb1dd803086ea568e7c9a896c1d3f8f47532f6a89af5bf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 54c | 32,250$17,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,537.9 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.97 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 45c | 12,638$5,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,937.46 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Under | 55c | 11,886$6,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,537.55 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…0c58backed Over | 46c | 6,139$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 46c | 5,174$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.97 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 5,149$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.16 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…3f06backed Under | 55c | 4,612$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…96b5backed Under | 55c | 4,442$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 4,367$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.13 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 45c | 4,124$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.44 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 45c | 2,847$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.66 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 57c | 2,131$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.8 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6d…eacabacked Over | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 46c | 1,499$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.46 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x002c…7291backed Over | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…31a9backed Over | 45c | 1,287$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0d…6d51backed Over | 45c | 1,156$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaecb…fdf0backed Over | 45c | 1,033$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 990.2$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.71 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f75…e9f7backed Over | 45c | 974$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9a…aea3backed Over | 45c | 892$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061d…d39cbacked Over | 45c | 812$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 48c | 712.58$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.54 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 47c | 584.91$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 46c | 511.51$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.22 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…1992backed Under | 55c | 453.55$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.45 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 45c | 422.22$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.22 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 45c | 377.2$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.46 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 46c | 370$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 45c | 277$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.35 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 45c | 187$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 46c | 145$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce5…65d7backed Under | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 46c | 106.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 45c | 67.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 55c | 59.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 80c | 57.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x213a…c46dbacked Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 44c | 45.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 44c | 38.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Over | 45c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Over | 45c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Over | 46c | 33.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 48c | 28.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0791…b6c7backed Over | 47c | 28.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. SabresWild won
- Wild vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.