TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,319
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,319 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc955…207bbacked Under43c7,350$3,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,165.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Under43c6,578$2,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.3813449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d93…e177backed Under43c6,213$2,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,671.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffd0…3c06backed Under43c6,162$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe155…955bbacked Under43c6,159$2,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,648.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa6b…06cabacked Under43c6,088$2,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,617.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under42c5,801$2,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,436.311,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1923…fe63backed Over57c5,500$3,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68eb…c09ebacked Over57c5,150$2,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over57c5,004$2,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,151.761,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d56…f790backed Over57c4,800$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d59…9c7fbacked Under43c4,700$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x061d…d39cbacked Over57c4,579$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f9a…aea3backed Over57c4,529$2,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.47450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over57c4,217$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.022,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over58c3,798$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.271,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc79d…5d7abacked Over57c3,315$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16e9…ab7cbacked Under43c3,300$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33e7…dd1dbacked Over57c3,285$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eee…58f4backed Over57c3,223$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea43…4300backed Under43c3,202$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x304d…bf03backed Over57c3,155$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5366…1671backed Over57c3,147$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c62…64d0backed Over57c3,145$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x022a…5fbfbacked Over57c3,107$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a52…cb11backed Over57c3,055$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ef…864fbacked Over57c3,052$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689e…3a7ebacked Over57c3,033$1,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf045…d17bbacked Over57c2,989$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce4…7ce7backed Over57c2,878$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d6…a142backed Under43c2,676$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d6…943dbacked Under43c2,400$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4761…394abacked Over57c2,300$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9891100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6331…8391backed Over57c2,237$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf14e…ce0abacked Under43c2,122$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x953f…282dbacked Under43c1,603$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6df…ff02backed Over57c1,510$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f75…e9f7backed Under43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over57c1,432$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.7675155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7b…7cf8backed Under43c1,289$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa4…c05fbacked Under43c1,280$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaecb…fdf0backed Under43c1,267$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x566a…067ebacked Over57c1,220$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x002c…7291backed Under43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf6d…eacabacked Under43c1,186$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2871…55e4backed Under43c1,169$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe067…9018backed Under43c1,158$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4f…2e2bbacked Under43c1,132$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…3f06backed Under43c1,127$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.61425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b0…f1aebacked Under43c1,123$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…fe1abacked Over57c1,122$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b4…4752backed Over57c1,100$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4732100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d6…0c75backed Under43c1,055$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa817…35a3backed Under43c1,047$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e0d…6d51backed Under43c1,042$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.06450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x321d…31a9backed Under43c935$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b25…b788backed Under43c903$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8922…12e9backed Under43c892$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d46…1428backed Under43c873$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb5…96b5backed Under43c851$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.93425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81ae…4f72backed Under43c831$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.3330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d2d…6374backed Over57c811$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d98…2065backed Over57c802$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0a1…a0b0backed Over57c801$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7425…c079backed Under43c777$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.111675%12 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc3ed…7a01backed Over57c777$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.111361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f2c…49a2backed Over56c766.07$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.071553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e1c…2b46backed Under44c766.07$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.071376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+46.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea11…551abacked Over57c713.95$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3071421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick47cpaid-59%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7aa1…fd2dbacked Under43c713.95$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3071457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Over58c510.34$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.342259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over56c502.61$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.151,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over57c501.86$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.893953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under44c463.95$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.1426849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed1…efcbbacked Over58c356.9$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.92556%14 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8347256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over58c259.83$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.139547.4%45 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3115257.2%87 W · 65 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4231257.4%179 W · 133 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0791…b6c7backed Under44c88.1$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.691637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4161…272dbacked Over58c87.93$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.934156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2110864.8%70 W · 38 L+12.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under43c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3511533.9%39 W · 76 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.260141.9%252 W · 349 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over57c35.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1445151.2%231 W · 220 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over57c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.671,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Over58c26.74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2310059%59 W · 41 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c25.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.092,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over58c22.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4119652.6%103 W · 93 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3945…7077backed Over58c20.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.698355.4%46 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over56c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3624349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Over56c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.364254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over68c16.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321040.5%85 W · 125 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.