TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$294,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$295,916

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,065 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes40c160,000$63,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,249.9831643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No50c85,938$43,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,596.294551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No79c62,323$49,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,851.942962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No36c15,984$5,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,230.2833251.8%172 W · 160 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf5…2fefbacked Yes0c11,924$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes73c11,597$8,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,507.923435%82 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c9,812$4,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,894.338,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No38c9,032$3,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,639.851,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No31c8,644$2,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,974.282,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes26c8,243$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,179.015,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e4…f06fbacked No28c6,400$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,607.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Yes72c5,500$3,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,974.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes77c5,097$3,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,924.36850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes73c4,644$3,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,376.4319239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No64c3,981$2,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.3449449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes73c2,740$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes75c2,676$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.9481651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed Yes55c2,660$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4735930.5%18 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No26c2,537$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.259454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No40c2,004$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.668536.5%31 W · 54 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No59c1,822$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.511464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+65.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No43c1,671$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.891,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No27c1,653$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.977051.4%36 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cd6…b917backed No23c1,624$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+332.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No25c1,500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.9513821%29 W · 109 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc16…8ff3backed Yes77c1,400$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No25c1,396$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.015653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…4b27backed Yes76c1,316$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No23c1,300$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+152.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes53c1,270$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.2163644.7%284 W · 352 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes21c1,202$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.393145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No27c1,005$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.7426659.8%159 W · 107 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…67cdbacked No24c999.95$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes75c972.57$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.436529.2%19 W · 46 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes72c856$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.326944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes60c838.37$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bee…aa9ebacked Yes77c800$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61620%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1a4…e9adbacked Yes75c800$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes45c725$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3254753.2%25 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes70c714$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.836727%99 W · 268 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No25c677.68$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.7681740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes77c646.42$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009567.4%64 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df0…9edabacked Yes78c641.53$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes66c593$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.3232936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed No29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4635…9f6fbacked Yes70c499.9$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed No24c499.61$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.1914422.9%33 W · 111 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes24c499.57$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1111738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked No74c428.99$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.252466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aaa…8c2bbacked Yes60c368.77$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No50c364$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.627133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8deb…d8e2backed Yes55c338.03$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.612733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes54c290$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.25721.1%12 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes52c282.78$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.921643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa43…3215backed Yes77c280.52$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No35c274.49$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.743268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes60c273.33$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1646142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No30c253.75$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.681,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Yes25c234.23$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.41850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes73c228.08$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…edb3backed Yes73c221.85$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.951353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70d2…f395backed Yes61c220$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Yes74c209.98$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.492138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x421d…320abacked No23c205.71$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked Yes76c197.36$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No27c196.9$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+83.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes33c195.7$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9912045.8%55 W · 65 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf2…3ef7backed Yes66c189.39$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x554a…09c8backed No78c183.5$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes77c181.82$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes53c170$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.48547.1%40 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes61c170$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.47256.9%41 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x040f…e98cbacked No24c167.36$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.682445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Yes77c156.54$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9827…e5ffbacked No24c154.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.79475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+123%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf1b…09aebacked Yes65c153.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.982572%18 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes77c152.52$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4416262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10810054%54 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No22c149.61$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6431226.6%83 W · 229 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a96…e12fbacked Yes74c149$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed No75c138.76$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.981643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x290f…7e47backed No73c137.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.252176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+45.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24f3…5892backed Yes75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked Yes73c132.75$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+73.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes49c131.7$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6440242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5787…120abacked Yes76c131.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3771…692dbacked Yes77c130.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x948a…fb30backed Yes68c123.32$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.83862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c21…e5f5backed No24c112.42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No24c110.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.358046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes76c110$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.49per pick65cpaid-67.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed Yes77c105.19$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2734…22efbacked Yes26c103.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.571442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x18a6…0b89backed No39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+159.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x646c…3210backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262045%9 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98d7…95d4backed No27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c2c…79d4backed Yes62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.