South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SE Palmeiras vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf42f4f5155c78082d986146903a66db2082639ad32789c4356fb13bc58727eb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 19c | 22,813$4,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,478.65 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 14,609$11,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,445.73 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 5,638$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.31 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 32c | 5,044$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.78 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 4,869$3,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,474.86 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 37c | 2,451$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.49 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,250$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,116$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.58 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…b5b2backed Yes | 21c | 1,805$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 71c | 1,250$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.77 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,046$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 50c | 829.78$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.79 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 44c | 764.11$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.34 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 76c | 754.51$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.74 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 17c | 642$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.86 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 144 | 22.9%33 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 20c | 491.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 67c | 396$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 15c | 329.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…1b82backed Yes | 32c | 265.63$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 70c | 259$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 72c | 250$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked No | 60c | 195.51$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.66 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Yes | 20c | 132.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.38 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed No | 76c | 109.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.69 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed Yes | 74c | 101.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Yes | 17c | 86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 79c | 85.07$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…327dbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…2c7ebacked Yes | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 71c | 76.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 128 | 64.8%83 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 28c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes | 77c | 54.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked No | 44c | 33.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 70c | 32.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…e1babacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…7678backed Yes | 48c | 23.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…8affbacked Yes | 73c | 20.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…88aabacked Yes | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SE Palmeiras vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?this page
- Will EC Vitória win on 2025-11-19?No won
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.