TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a96…e12f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST2152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden vs. Slovenia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+284.6%+$37
Will Korea Republic vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25.29
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+61%+$136.4
Will Montenegro vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Italy win on 2025-11-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Hungary vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Kosovo win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Russia vs. Chile end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Will South Africa vs. Zambia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$19.4
Will Kenya win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$46.53
Will Croatia win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$54.5
Will Poland vs. Netherlands end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+150%+$30
Will Poland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$84.5
Will Tunisia win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+72.4%+$12.6
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$51.28
Will Oman win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+48.5%+$49
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+38.5%+$65.93
Will Japan win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+46.5%+$281.1
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$17.5
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+70.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-77.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Stars vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$50.53
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+62.9%+$30.9
Will Gaziantep FK vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Kings: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+72.4%+$20.57
Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Will NK Celje win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+25%+$3.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+265.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+265.8%+$2,544.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.