Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d46f95793541d4fb4ca377ed3c4639845e1be390e327c6e4407919d16395ad3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 800.89$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.65 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 703.18$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 74c | 658$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.07 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 73c | 643.94$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.05 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…4662backed Yes | 31c | 320.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 25c | 271.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 211.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 2,566 | 42.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L | +52.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 73c | 196.9$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 25c | 191.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 176.07$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 161.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 494 | 67.8%335 W · 159 L | +69.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Yes | 26c | 143.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 22c | 114$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 29c | 103.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 30c | 82.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 29c | 68.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…e12fbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 42.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 27c | 40.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 19.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21?Yes won
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.