Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0562d4c6f5ef1d04cb84cf18b4cf94f7a81ffba5f79a4de054f46212f316de4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,129$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 987.43$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.33 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 12c | 640$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 29c | 575$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0faabacked Yes | 22c | 513.47$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 13c | 499.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…a9debacked Yes | 26c | 422.71$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 353$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 14c | 319$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 11c | 254$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 29c | 208.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 198.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 166.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 26c | 144$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…e1babacked Yes | 11c | 119.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 30c | 108.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.29per pick | 18cpaid | +387.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…692dbacked No | 76c | 79.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa381…e40abacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…a228backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…ead5backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…3ab7backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…f2fabacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59d1…7164backed No | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.