Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85063e48796f3d7fe4db225780ccd6f64f80d3f0180d88e86ea494c77ba3e7da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 45c | 40,006$17,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,986.66 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 44c | 19,349$8,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,835.23 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 65c | 8,324$5,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 67c | 7,833$5,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 5,365$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735.34 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 3,985$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.68 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 49c | 3,669$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.93 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Yes | 50c | 3,015$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 50c | 2,987$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 63c | 2,504$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.35 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 63c | 2,301$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.31 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed No | 55c | 1,648$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,013$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 54c | 630.56$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.23 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 32c | 531.66$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 47c | 478.3$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.27 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…a9debacked Yes | 60c | 465.79$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 451.56$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.61 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…4176backed Yes | 53c | 386.77$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5918…6bfcbacked Yes | 80c | 383.69$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 34c | 375.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.14 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 55c | 347.16$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.61 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 73c | 345.54$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0faabacked Yes | 64c | 314.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 52c | 312.95$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.69 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 64c | 312.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 36c | 298.39$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…4662backed Yes | 66c | 275.49$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed No | 41c | 243.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 48c | 227.77$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 33c | 205.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 40c | 185.2$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 42c | 173.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 42c | 153.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 50c | 147.48$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked No | 25c | 147.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 49c | 147.19$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…9380backed Yes | 74c | 135.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 35c | 130.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 34c | 125$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked Yes | 72c | 123.92$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 54c | 111$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Yes | 49c | 110.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked No | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…7c42backed Yes | 67c | 100.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…32e2backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 48c | 90.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…f38bbacked Yes | 76c | 89.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Yes | 67c | 89.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d8…2b8dbacked No | 44c | 87.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…fd2cbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed Yes | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 49c | 75.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 49c | 72.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…6937backed Yes | 67c | 72.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 51c | 69.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…6326backed No | 29c | 59.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 49c | 59.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 53c | 58.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 53c | 49.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12dd…1aacbacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x109f…1691backed Yes | 63c | 44.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed Yes | 67c | 43.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…f150backed No | 53c | 42.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 62c | 40.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…5f4dbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…09c8backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…897ebacked No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…cf40backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82f…9998backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…d70abacked Yes | 49c | 21.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed Yes | 69c | 17.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.