TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf76d…7c42

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Cricket, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+75.4%+$34.7
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Coventry City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40.64
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+194.1%+$99.82
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+222.6%+$94.69
Will Oxford United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$23.13
Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-11-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.91
Will Liverpool vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-55.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Texas Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Spread: Alabama A&M Bulldogs (-1.5)backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$70.34
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.05
Akron Zips vs. Eastern Michigan Eaglesbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.94
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.47
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Georgia State Panthersbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+30.5%+$13.5
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$137.18
Davidson Wildcats vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$114.27
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-71.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-47%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.89
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.89
Tigers vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.97
Brewers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Reds vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$272.95
All 5 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 3)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+51.5%+$43.9
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+91.2%+$591.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+49.3%+$33.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia vs. Getafe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.