TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tigers vs. Royals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Tigers, Royals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,145
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,084

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,145 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Royals52c119,579$62,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,181.338043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Tigers48c79,841$38,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,517.2744456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers48c16,577$7,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,610.931,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Tigers48c12,504$6,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,502.187450%37 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers60c5,773$3,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304.732,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Tigers48c4,375$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,27543654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Royals41c4,269$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.9154941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Royals41c4,168$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.89,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Tigers65c3,564$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.11,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers48c3,395$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.892,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals52c2,600$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.861,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Royals52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Royals53c2,392$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.7633845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Royals28c2,107$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.554345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Tigers48c1,644$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.8825453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Tigers48c1,582$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.6463152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Tigers47c1,393$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.1861346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Tigers48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Tigers48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3088…ec44backed Royals52c999.97$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.984040%16 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf647…7911backed Royals53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Tigers65c773.48$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.4815749.7%78 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Royals3c677$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.541,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Tigers48c655$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.611454.4%62 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Tigers62c650$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24715644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Tigers48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals41c612.17$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.774,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Tigers48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2603,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Tigers48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26011331.9%36 W · 77 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Royals40c420.97$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3970841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers43c363.88$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.551151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Tigers47c350$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.51,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Tigers20c315$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Royals39c297$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.831,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Royals52c260.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.621,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Royals6c260$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1496133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Tigers21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.11,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Tigers46c231.52$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0219742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Royals37c230.05$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8521747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x800e…d9bdbacked Royals53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1db8…2d38backed Tigers48c222.92$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.922070%14 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Tigers48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3312939.5%51 W · 78 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Tigers48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Tigers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Royals51c196$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9631347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf76d…7c42backed Royals52c193.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9750%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Royals54c180.56$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.588549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals53c168.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.511,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c5e…3668backed Tigers64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252450%12 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Tigers47c150.97$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0273149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45dd…0c58backed Tigers48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58a4…57d4backed Tigers67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.254341.9%18 W · 25 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Tigers72c138.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9647348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Tigers76c131.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6439160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Royals51c128.52$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9954441.2%224 W · 320 L-22.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x432d…bda6backed Royals48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507256.9%41 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Tigers20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8045732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e0…f941backed Tigers49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked Tigers48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5215543.9%68 W · 87 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf60…8ebcbacked Tigers48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Royals17c93.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7428949.1%142 W · 147 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Tigers65c89.09$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8260052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e9…3166backed Tigers59c86.61$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.518453.6%45 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb39e…5182backed Royals18c78.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149639.6%38 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Tigers61c77.35$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2625364.4%163 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33b9…ed3abacked Tigers32c65.49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.498530.6%26 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfef0…1282backed Royals41c64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.241752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Tigers48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.510541%43 W · 62 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf609…7295backed Royals68c57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.766468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf913…5543backed Royals44c56.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0916140.4%65 W · 96 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Royals45c55.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9830740.4%124 W · 183 L-11.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb590…15d3backed Royals38c55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.959152.7%48 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Royals53c54.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7346631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Tigers48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.085246.2%24 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Tigers49c51.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.866,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Royals53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.569547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd287…7485backed Tigers47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.554352.3%284 W · 259 L+27.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x041c…88c5backed Tigers48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2618750.3%94 W · 93 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4b…94d4backed Tigers48c48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9625155.4%139 W · 112 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Royals36c45.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3776456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tigers33c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Royals51c38.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4566250.2%332 W · 330 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6082…6ce2backed Tigers47c38.11$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.218148.6%88 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8540…be12backed Royals53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Tigers40c32.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3155152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Royals53c32.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,29956.7%737 W · 562 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Tigers48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2523444.9%105 W · 129 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Tigers45c30.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7116053.1%85 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…d68cbacked Royals65c30.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.546657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Tigers47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.934257.6%197 W · 145 L+25.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Tigers68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4120367%136 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Royals53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.252,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b3…7c4dbacked Tigers48c22.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d9…26ebbacked Royals52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.415756.1%88 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.