NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08bd0fa9f04c639d317560c211f5e1bb30a93b319e366047b4bd57d1000b0778
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $752,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $759,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $752,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 47c | 476,289$223,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253,132.8 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 54c | 260,000$139,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139,600.08 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 53c | 120,000$63,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,600 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 44c | 92,074$40,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,407.82 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 53c | 84,590$44,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,832.61 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Under | 47c | 47,000$22,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,910 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 44,236$23,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,950.63 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,600 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 46c | 36,056$16,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,470.39 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Over | 55c | 16,364$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 53c | 16,000$8,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,480 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 53c | 12,783$6,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,775.22 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Under | 45c | 10,692$4,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880.77 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Over | 53c | 9,047$4,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,795.08 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 56c | 9,030$5,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,018.86 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Over | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 52c | 6,911$3,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 42c | 6,879$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,003.57 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 6,871$3,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,695.48 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Under | 46c | 6,777$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.42 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 53c | 6,714$3,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,591.68 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 46c | 5,600$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.92 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 54c | 5,180$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.17 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 54c | 4,400$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.93 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 45c | 4,120$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.73 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 54c | 4,075$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.22 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 46c | 3,753$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.41 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 54c | 3,117$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.12 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 56c | 3,002$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.97 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Over | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.89 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 54c | 1,838$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 47c | 1,486$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.55 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…141fbacked Under | 53c | 1,473$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.52 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 54c | 1,282$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.71 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 1,184$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.41 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 55c | 1,001$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.65 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…9912backed Under | 46c | 965.22$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c36…36a0backed Under | 46c | 893.95$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.68 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 54c | 814.81$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Under | 47c | 801.21$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.77 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 59c | 788.26$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.71 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Over | 54c | 750$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 55c | 729.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…99b4backed Under | 44c | 685$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Under | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Over | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…3e2abacked Under | 46c | 647.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.89 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 44c | 608.05$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.02 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec2…59e6backed Over | 55c | 508.23$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 45c | 500$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 44c | 498.92$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.53 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 45c | 470.85$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.35 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 22c | 456.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 54c | 456.18$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.31 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Over | 54c | 437.35$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.32 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c8…2564backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 56c | 357.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Over | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 47c | 339$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.67 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 47c | 334.34$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.52 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 332.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.41 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 51c | 317.92$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.64 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 45c | 299.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…00bdbacked Over | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Over | 55c | 293.04$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.04 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Over | 51c | 278.57$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +12.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 54c | 272.76$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.29 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 54c | 272$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 19c | 259.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Over | 55c | 230$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.8 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75da…fc93backed Over | 54c | 229.81$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 19c | 229.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…fde1backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 54c | 216$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 52c | 211.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…18a9backed Over | 57c | 203.16$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…cfeebacked Over | 56c | 202.88$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Over | 55c | 201.61$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.11 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 55c | 201.48$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5this page
- Senators vs. Blue JacketsSenators won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Senators won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.