TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e91…3e2a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST5339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$101.01
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19.92
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+97.4%+$41.09
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$93.73
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$24.74
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$309.66
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$52.46
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.71
Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$244.32
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$98.99
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$52.05
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+100%+$16.11
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$64.95
Spread: Magic (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+107.8%+$14.55
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$27.96
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$84.77
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$114.59
Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$24.7
Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51.85
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$46.47
Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.51
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$43.25
Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50.51
Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.44
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100.4%+$48.21
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$27.25
Red Wings vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+72%+$56.21
Penguins vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$47.75
Penguins vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+95.6%+$113.6
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$253.53
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$22.9
Capitals vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+144.1%+$126.39
Penguins vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$92.93
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+114.2%+$18.97
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+88.4%+$33.99
Rangers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+57.9%+$125.97
Sabres vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$276.28
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$51.25
Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+115.5%+$346.89
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$131.12
Sharks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$129.29
Penguins vs. Krakenbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$79.83
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid+55.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+95.8%+$56.72
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.51
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+68%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$144.26
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$41.94
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+30%+$4.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$38.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.