La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f2c5d8b70744f73d775bed09d528a4713ec127325c1234c8d4954a2bf355c3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 50c | 19,594$9,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,797 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 738.53$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.17 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 460.24$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.14 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 78c | 416.89$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 50c | 140.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 50c | 103$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 28c | 96.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 29c | 96.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 45c | 87.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0f…1147backed No | 32c | 65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.9wins | +0.28per pick | 53cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e20…3b66backed Yes | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…3e2abacked No | 79c | 41.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 59c | 36.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…7d4cbacked Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 77c | 29.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +15.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f4…3c57backed Yes | 62c | 19.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…a566backed Yes | 68c | 16.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
- Will UD Almería vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.