La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81ac34d919b8c8167ac3823a3e17f7c3d638b5ed6967dd438ec8b9cef3678890
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 28c | 5,900$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 2,666$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.37 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 55c | 1,809$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.39 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 1,791$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.16 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,568$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 72c | 1,200$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 72c | 1,037$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.36 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 538.83$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 8c | 524.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 328.56$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.39 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 45c | 205.71$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 9c | 187.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes | 13c | 123.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 69c | 64.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 21c | 54.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 52c | 47.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…2517backed Yes | 27c | 47.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…de29backed Yes | 28c | 45.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3b…5008backed Yes | 27c | 40.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e20…3b66backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…ae9fbacked Yes | 27c | 38.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 72c | 28.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4089…67f9backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecac…eadfbacked No | 74c | 19.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1f…64d4backed No | 74c | 19.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…39b7backed No | 74c | 19.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6737…109abacked No | 75c | 18.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263e…9e3abacked No | 74c | 18.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2508…e009backed No | 74c | 17.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a4…d49ebacked No | 75c | 17.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c63…11e5backed No | 74c | 15.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 14.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…d3e8backed No | 75c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña end in a draw?this page
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.