TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,312
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$189,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,312 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over55c30,969$17,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,023.2238253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c20,845$9,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,979.069,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbad…81aabacked Under45c17,756$7,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,765.562040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under47c14,611$6,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,679.62,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c10,138$4,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,170.182,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under54c9,384$5,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,334.3266853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over49c7,275$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,549.583,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under45c6,633$2,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,648.0529347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under59c4,237$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.2976746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8259…5e22backed Over54c3,100$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc85…3cdbbacked Under46c2,963$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.02683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+67.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x166b…9332backed Over54c2,920$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x425f…c526backed Over54c2,852$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67a1…5e59backed Under46c2,843$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe4b…cba4backed Under46c2,653$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.62475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under54c2,633$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.182,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f72…c9e1backed Over54c2,540$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.6450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2381…e7b1backed Under46c2,540$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8480…6f50backed Over54c2,534$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.36450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb953…13f6backed Under46c2,534$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over55c2,515$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.431,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c2,490$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.684,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d5…fdc5backed Over54c2,412$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.48450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a4…a356backed Under46c2,390$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9505…2672backed Under46c2,385$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x535a…5b28backed Over54c2,363$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.02560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over47c2,311$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.6749249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x769b…d2c7backed Under46c2,235$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.9785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+72.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.112,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c1,834$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.512,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x584d…02c7backed Over54c1,822$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.8840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c1,793$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.356,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c1,711$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.871,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c1,699$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.742,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c1,549$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.625,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Over46c1,158$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.9411137.8%42 W · 69 L-14.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Over48c1,098$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.8114346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over52c1,074$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.911,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under54c1,046$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.4929344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under46c923.85$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.9662541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c900$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4234,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3f…e0adbacked Over44c897.73$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3951233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over50c895.52$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.7651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Over51c889.54$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45018343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over43c799.89$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.954,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over43c745.03$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.3637944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Under45c719$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.4535450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29467252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c515$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.768,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2126040%24 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015650.6%79 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over49c386.84$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.168940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13516539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Under56c299.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13237357.4%214 W · 159 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under47c297.87$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8733442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86e5…b098backed Under50c297$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.55457.4%31 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under48c243.96$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8680653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under13c232.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.3319135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…fde1backed Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.224148.8%20 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over52c222$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4484150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011051.8%57 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0419350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Over43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over45c196$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.271547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over45c190$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.543052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b8…6f30backed Over52c187.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.672927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid+11.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Over47c143.86$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.329642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Under54c138.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9315348.4%74 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over44c120.4$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.981,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Under47c107.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.094643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over52c105.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5550351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e91…3e2abacked Under49c101.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.855339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4580744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over45c92.84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.941,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under52c84.07$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.243,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Over44c78.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.531,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under58c68.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.962,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under47c64.95$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4253043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bef…3787backed Under47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Under58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3437755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under49c55.52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2945651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under51c54.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5292750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under49c54.01$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.451,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under46c54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1641048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Under45c52.2$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7116036.3%58 W · 102 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8ee…5c69backed Over41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.514137.6%53 W · 88 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a1…3b93backed Under55c46.75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.921883.3%15 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+62.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Over55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255334%18 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3a1…64a3backed Over46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.23724.3%9 W · 28 L-10.0wins-0.27per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over50c39.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8811443%49 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba87…bc76backed Under57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.097047.1%33 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13eb…07f0backed Over45c32.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.671245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Under47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.933552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd3…772abacked Under54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.85450%27 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Under56c26.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5931155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.