NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb20b12ba4be16f887985174b754794eef195b8e3bd5ddec7783560c58df48bbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 4,960$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.65 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 4,533$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 52c | 1,926$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 1,732$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.72 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 40c | 880$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 516$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 422.25$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.68 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 54c | 373.83$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.96 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 359.79$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 286.25$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.54 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 60c | 270.85$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.34 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 50c | 235$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 53c | 152.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 113.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Over | 48c | 108$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 59c | 67.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 49c | 64.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 47c | 54.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…e042backed Under | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c37…3fd1backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 54c | 46.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 36c | 45.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 55c | 36.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Under | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Pistons vs. PelicansPistons won
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.