TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,279
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,279 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c35,249$16,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,919.452,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Under52c32,839$17,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,762.6116752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over57c13,676$7,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,794.3938253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Under58c13,367$7,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,645.422453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under47c13,224$6,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,960.131,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Under43c7,040$3,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,012.810235.3%36 W · 66 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c5,138$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,748.859,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under43c5,127$2,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,908.022,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over46c4,879$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.633,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over54c3,197$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.531,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7da4…9421backed Over57c3,023$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a1f…f6a8backed Under43c2,709$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe456…8ef3backed Over57c2,613$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99cb…f5ebbacked Under43c2,596$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e26…954bbacked Under43c2,563$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb8…2ca2backed Over57c2,456$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0638…d5a2backed Under43c2,386$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.02425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d1…95d6backed Over57c2,156$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Over55c2,136$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.8841553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14026755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c1,960$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.384,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a5…f0a8backed Under43c1,860$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.471827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-39.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over49c1,751$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.2216642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over49c1,674$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.4977348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under50c1,669$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.3917250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c1,572$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.414,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Under53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7055658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over49c1,329$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.832,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c1,289$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.012,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over42c1,187$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.541,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under55c1,077$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under48c1,063$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.392,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over73c1,031$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.4783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48011137.8%42 W · 69 L-14.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c972$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.166,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3441,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Over50c704$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.7419350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c694.82$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.798,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over46c638.79$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.461,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.31,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over44c600$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2621,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb364…f1e3backed Under52c457.35$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.537060%42 W · 28 L+8.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c453.49$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.542,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under59c444$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.041,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015650.6%79 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over46c321.05$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.141,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under53c317.96$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4448054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Over47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14116539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Under52c295.54$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8611752.1%61 W · 56 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f15…89d4backed Under44c264$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+232.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c253.75$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.565,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under49c252$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5919135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Over57c249.41$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5115348.4%74 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Under43c230.23$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.2312151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over61c226.48$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2131144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b2…7917backed Under52c212.69$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.096055%33 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.315152.9%27 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016547.3%78 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6b8…6f30backed Over55c184.79$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.462927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid+11.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under51c180$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.259144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under52c173.49$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9766853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce16…749fbacked Under52c162.73$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1111755.6%65 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d2b…effbbacked Under43c156.05$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.951450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Over51c144.81$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.869642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under62c142.51$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.972,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7808…3046backed Under52c133.62$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.146055%33 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Under52c124.6$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8112752%66 W · 61 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over52c116$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8768940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x43d0…76a0backed Over45c111.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Under52c108.54$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.120149.8%100 W · 101 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4780744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5145146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7730…a854backed Under50c99.47$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.97944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under34c96.87$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.233,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf464…0607backed Under52c84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.329753.6%52 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cf4…f5e5backed Under52c82.37$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.548653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed Over49c80.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010842.6%46 W · 62 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Over48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3616549.7%82 W · 83 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Over50c74.16$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3725143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under56c72.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.712,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Under45c64.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.551,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x862d…bc9bbacked Under52c64.02$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.737047.1%33 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under56c64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8471245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under47c60.49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0654747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6952246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under46c55.91$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.11,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Under56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5751651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under47c53.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4155533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under47c51.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.31,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.585449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3388845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Under45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.59844.9%44 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over51c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.566143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6896…c672backed Under52c46.04$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.18050%40 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under47c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2639041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.677040%28 W · 42 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe3a1…64a3backed Over48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193724.3%9 W · 28 L-10.0wins-0.27per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.