TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$892,772
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$893,388

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $892,772 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Pistons50c553,900$274,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279,380.5987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans50c350,000$176,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176,0001,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans50c101,597$50,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,998.281,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pelicans52c100,000$52,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,999.9843148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Pistons50c99,546$49,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,77347848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Pelicans50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Pelicans51c30,000$15,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,15037557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Pelicans50c30,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons48c28,630$13,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,020.512,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Pelicans49c26,925$13,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,193.4426253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pelicans50c24,304$12,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,15259347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans54c21,360$11,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,534.181,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons50c21,354$10,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,642.318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Pistons48c19,253$9,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,011.640350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9723…77d8backed Pistons50c15,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5001764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Pelicans50c15,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pelicans49c14,018$6,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,868.642,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Pelicans49c10,004$4,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,902.048961.8%55 W · 34 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Pelicans53c9,079$4,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,811.7525753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Pelicans52c7,270$3,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,744.5135747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Pistons50c5,886$2,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,94358449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pelicans50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pistons48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6002,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Pistons48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.6733447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Pelicans50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Pelicans49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9915349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons47c2,994$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.339,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Pistons51c2,865$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.6719954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Pistons46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0802,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Pelicans50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010045%45 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pistons50c1,540$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.35,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Pistons53c1,502$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.0421143.1%91 W · 120 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons47c1,249$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.13,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Pelicans50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60017953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Pistons47c1,151$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.881,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Pelicans49c1,009$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.2139842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Pelicans49c829.89$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.6566646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans46c823.99$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.044,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Pelicans50c804$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40266250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x902e…5f41backed Pistons50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4009853.1%52 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Pistons47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Pistons49c573$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.7519350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pistons50c532.75$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2653,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Pistons47c526$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.7843052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Pelicans51c505.05$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.5841947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Pelicans38c500$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18944821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Pelicans51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506659.1%39 W · 27 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Pistons48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6725951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Pistons50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20018456%103 W · 81 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Pistons47c398.54$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.6453043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9331…4b41backed Pistons51c376.96$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.714245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Pelicans54c333.33$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Pelicans49c210.52$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1592750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed Pistons50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Pelicans50c169.19$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8518055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02f1…6109backed Pistons50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Pistons48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7815348.4%74 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Pelicans49c149.97$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4912143.8%53 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9121…bd6cbacked Pistons59c131$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.653946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef71…dedebacked Pistons49c116.87$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.876552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Pistons50c116.41$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.212,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Pistons50c115.41$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7176250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6f10…ef9abacked Pistons52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487935.4%28 W · 51 L-10.1wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Pelicans50c95.19$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.69455.3%52 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Pistons54c87.01$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0130743%132 W · 175 L-19.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Pelicans51c82.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.731,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Pelicans58c68.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Pistons50c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.520651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6299…dd7dbacked Pistons50c58.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.431643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Pistons51c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4262844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1de6…fdb3backed Pelicans52c57.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Pelicans71c53.82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4843544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed Pistons47c50.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.747753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafbd…432dbacked Pistons50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2519258.3%112 W · 80 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Pelicans49c49.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.125144.2%111 W · 140 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed Pistons47c48.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7310842.6%46 W · 62 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Pelicans50c48.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.157546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Pelicans51c40.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.675152.9%27 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Pistons51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.611847.5%56 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x135c…0c80backed Pelicans50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24d9…e3e6backed Pistons50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205952.5%31 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Pistons50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2031947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Pistons51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2224253.3%129 W · 113 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…0069backed Pistons51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.223435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Pistons54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0422646.9%106 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16a1…a8cfbacked Pistons63c36.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.421275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Pistons55c36.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Pelicans52c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1668940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Pelicans50c30.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3217155.6%95 W · 76 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02a…9e7ebacked Pistons51c29.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Pelicans50c26.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1917155.6%95 W · 76 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Pelicans51c25.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1921753%115 W · 102 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c3…f427backed Pelicans51c24.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5711546.1%53 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Pistons51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7832346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Pistons51c21.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7711443%49 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans51c20.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.32,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Pistons50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Pistons50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1037852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.