NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cb71604f151ecec7bf5d281a49055795754ad73fdcaae56c4d13b2fcbe4dea0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Over | 54c | 2,315$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 2,313$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 46c | 424$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.04 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 47c | 277.92$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 44c | 273.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 247.6$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 42c | 206.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 201.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Under | 60c | 165.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 160.18$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 49c | 126$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc1…dc77backed Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 40c | 91.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f93…3e77backed Under | 46c | 61.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 57c | 59.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 39c | 53.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 57c | 40.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…8656backed Over | 78c | 36.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d0…76a0backed Over | 41c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 36c | 28.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a7ecbacked Under | 62c | 26.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Pistons vs. PelicansPistons won
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.