TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,093
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,093 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x906f…88b4backed Under52c14,036$7,321 inWon+$6,715.0922453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over50c13,498$6,749 inLost-$6,749.0560351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c11,846$5,686 inLost-$5,685.992,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon+$5,0001,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Under53c7,000$3,710 inWon+$3,29045850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c4,816$2,254 inWon+$2,561.599,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Over50c3,200$1,600 inLost-$1,60016942.6%72 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under49c2,816$1,380 inWon+$1,436.3347856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over48c2,390$1,147 inLost-$1,147.271547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under52c2,083$1,083 inWon+$1,00050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under54c1,852$1,000 inWon+$851.851,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c1,339$634 inWon+$705.298,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under53c1,245$660 inWon+$585.1241553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under46c1,241$570 inWon+$670.341,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over47c1,240$583 inLost-$582.742648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Under44c1,041$458 inWon+$582.9114061.4%86 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over49c748.98$367 inLost-$36718241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over49c675.84$328 inLost-$327.982,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under47c460$216 inWon+$243.821743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under45c299.69$135 inWon+$164.831,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x874e…9bcabacked Over22c277.85$61 inLost-$61.133336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over51c269.96$138 inLost-$137.6841947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4683…1218backed Under45c244.44$110 inWon+$134.445345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under43c240$103 inWon+$136.822138%84 W · 137 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Over47c237$112 inLost-$111.6919350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Under78c198.91$155 inWon+$43.7614255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under47c165.75$77 inWon+$88.623,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Under51c149.98$76 inWon+$73.4910348.5%50 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over47c123.07$58 inLost-$57.842,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa90…d716backed Over50c100.05$50 inLost-$503243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over48c94.76$45 inLost-$45.4853043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under52c77.66$40 inWon+$37.282,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under54c50$27 inWon+$2349351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over52c49.27$26 inLost-$25.681,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Over49c32.33$16 inLost-$1611637.9%44 W · 72 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over49c27.14$13 inLost-$13.271,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Over48c26.04$12 inLost-$12.51,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.