NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c8f72d356429220f857f1ac6f6c0428cc668dc59bc0f8f230164e75df5b605b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Pistons, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pelicans | 50c | 66,685$33,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,310.01 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 44c | 25,435$11,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,195.03 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Pistons | 55c | 17,604$9,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,614.79 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 45c | 13,012$5,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,856.06 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pistons | 55c | 12,355$6,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,795.16 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Pistons | 43c | 10,666$4,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,585.07 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Pelicans | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 45c | 8,278$3,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,764.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Pistons | 49c | 6,767$3,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315.82 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans | 45c | 6,172$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,394.39 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Pistons | 49c | 5,567$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pelicans | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Pistons | 50c | 4,367$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.5 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans | 55c | 4,109$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.58 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Pistons | 54c | 3,988$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.14 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Pelicans | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Pelicans | 53c | 3,500$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.49 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Pistons | 45c | 3,001$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.23 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pistons | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 57c | 2,981$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.83 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Pistons | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Pistons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Pistons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,647$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.21 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 47c | 1,626$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Pistons | 49c | 1,594$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.24 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,496$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.15 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pistons | 50c | 1,464$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.44 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 56c | 1,404$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,165$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.85 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans | 45c | 1,123$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.65 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Pistons | 50c | 1,108$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Pistons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pistons | 49c | 999.93$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.39 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans | 49c | 976.18$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.62 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Pistons | 52c | 946.46$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.16 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons | 48c | 900$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Pistons | 47c | 821.16$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.63 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Pelicans | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Pistons | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Pistons | 41c | 628$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.48 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Pistons | 47c | 582.32$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.65 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Pelicans | 48c | 531.86$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.95 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Pelicans | 46c | 500$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Pistons | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pelicans | 49c | 499.88$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.17 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Pelicans | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Pistons | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Pistons | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8283…26dabacked Pistons | 49c | 361.22$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Pelicans | 45c | 355.56$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Pistons | 51c | 323.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.11 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Pistons | 51c | 320.27$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Pelicans | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Pistons | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Pistons | 55c | 286.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.84 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Pelicans | 51c | 228.11$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Pelicans | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pistons | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Pistons | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pistons | 48c | 199.66$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a1…3b93backed Pistons | 56c | 156.91$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Pelicans | 51c | 145.17$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Pelicans | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Pelicans | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Pelicans | 48c | 124$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Pelicans | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans | 36c | 112.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Pelicans | 50c | 107.55$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…80cbbacked Pelicans | 51c | 107.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Pistons | 56c | 100.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Pistons | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…5f12backed Pelicans | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f5abbacked Pelicans | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Pelicans | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Pistons | 46c | 92.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Pelicans | 52c | 92.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…3e2abacked Pelicans | 48c | 89.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…7dc1backed Pelicans | 52c | 89.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Pelicans | 45c | 85.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Pelicans | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Pistons | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Pistons | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Pistons | 51c | 72.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Pelicans | 52c | 71.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…d581backed Pistons | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Pelicans | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…0493backed Pelicans | 50c | 61.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Pistons | 52c | 57.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pistons | 50c | 53.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pelicans | 54c | 50.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Pistons | 49c | 50.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Pistons | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Pistons | 46c | 45.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Pelicans | 46c | 44.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Pelicans | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Pistons | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -10.0wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Pelicans | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Pistons vs. PelicansPistons won
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.