TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0c37…3fd1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST6258.1%36 W · 26 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$48.64
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+90.1%+$67.59
Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$62.45
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
76ers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+150%+$37.5
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+156.4%+$39.1
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+185.7%+$46.43
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+138.1%+$34.52
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+139.3%+$34.72
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST3562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.5%+$33.84
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$14.05
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Djokovic vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$221
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+59.1%+$113.4
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+119.6%+$71.76
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+47.1%+$61.18
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+80.2%+$40.08
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Svitolinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+37%+$18.49
Shelton vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+78.6%+$117.86
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Minaur (+2.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$179
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$303
Zverev vs. Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$128.79
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Ruud (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$98.08
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+194.1%+$119.5
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinnbacked Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Set Handicap: Musetti (-2.5) vs Machac (+2.5)backed Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+32.2%+$48.32
Musetti vs. Machac: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Etcheverry (+1.5)backed Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+47.5%+$47.46
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$223.74
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$58.93
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.19
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.13
Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$64
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+39.5%+$59.31
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+43.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick79cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Golden Knights vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beşiktaş JK vs. Kayserispor: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.