TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,609

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,546 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c20,279$10,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,273.071,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…1449backed Under50c15,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,499.941735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10033151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under51c10,000$5,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,900.7221036.2%76 W · 134 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under50c7,462$3,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,756.0293953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over50c5,434$2,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729.2961953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over51c5,198$2,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,651.2233243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5006940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c4,323$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,118.092,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee6…81cebacked Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1be6…67a7backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Over50c2,625$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.51952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c2,457$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.9356152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Over49c2,367$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1605949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c2,157$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over50c2,073$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.3938844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2032…761cbacked Over48c2,000$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c1,503$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.579350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Over49c1,476$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.243458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fd0…8241backed Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea2…563fbacked Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe34b…c6eebacked Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefe7…21ebbacked Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e5…1862backed Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3239…31a1backed Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…7c53backed Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cd…34fcbacked Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef0…b274backed Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5681…dcf2backed Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb75…661cbacked Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf61a…3937backed Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8b…0281backed Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a5…219bbacked Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b5…e624backed Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeedc…2daebacked Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b13…7f4dbacked Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb327…c572backed Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fdd…6f2cbacked Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x425a…e1d3backed Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9276…9dfcbacked Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1256…b7c0backed Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa7…912fbacked Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb1…48e0backed Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d78…8a10backed Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49a0…600abacked Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4806…0dbfbacked Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec5f…6c3fbacked Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9980…c00dbacked Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d8b…3543backed Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99b1…aeabbacked Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…04a8backed Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79f1…df3ebacked Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ce5…40debacked Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ce…c2e3backed Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0976…3cccbacked Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6da3…6460backed Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e63…175ebacked Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8c…47d2backed Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffe…0277backed Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e6…16c3backed Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38cd…05f6backed Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd19f…4b8cbacked Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d71…8446backed Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdf…767fbacked Under50c1,475$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe440…60d1backed Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x782a…2ca8backed Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a7…a301backed Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafdb…243cbacked Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7022…86b1backed Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under49c1,430$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.384953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over49c1,286$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.1428251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under50c1,236$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.8125552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c770.33$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.7991653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Under52c744.88$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.541963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c741.57$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.3762951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over49c671.99$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.111,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010646.2%49 W · 57 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c611.23$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.772,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30066552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30047051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over50c540$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over51c522$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.2386852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under49c443.99$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.4349546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under50c412.67$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.3433447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2224…85cebacked Under51c397.14$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Under52c324.48$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.759440.4%38 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x877a…7de2backed Over51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over49c292.4$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2815349%75 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over49c271.18$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8827547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8758…01e0backed Over49c254.81$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.852524%6 W · 19 L-5.7wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-38.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Over50c241$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.510858.3%63 W · 45 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010438.5%40 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015257.2%87 W · 65 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.