NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4b013865ec8d1879a1885eaa5d8bf58a0addcb59aaa0309a7a80aa0eb65ad39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Golden Knights, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $628,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $648,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $628,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 748 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Golden Knights | 52c | 124,953$64,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,975.51 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Canadiens | 49c | 88,994$43,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,667.4 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Canadiens | 48c | 64,019$30,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,289.79 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Canadiens | 33c | 61,677$20,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,186.83 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Golden Knights | 67c | 39,650$26,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,473.93 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 19,433$10,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,105.16 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Canadiens | 48c | 15,743$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,182.75 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Canadiens | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,050 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Golden Knights | 45c | 14,827$6,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,695.82 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Golden Knights | 50c | 13,118$6,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,558.92 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 12,737$6,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,620.18 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Golden Knights | 61c | 11,765$7,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,160.65 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Golden Knights | 1c | 11,250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Golden Knights | 51c | 10,684$5,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,429.71 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…6fdfbacked Canadiens | 48c | 10,006$4,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,203.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Golden Knights | 51c | 10,000$5,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,076.57 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights | 50c | 9,132$4,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,603.46 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Golden Knights | 33c | 9,124$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.39 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 47c | 8,489$4,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,463.33 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canadiens | 48c | 7,737$3,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.42 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Canadiens | 48c | 7,604$3,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,945.99 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 7,532$4,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,670.12 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Golden Knights | 52c | 7,269$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.88 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Canadiens | 33c | 6,800$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,555.98 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Canadiens | 49c | 6,767$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.17 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Golden Knights | 51c | 6,313$3,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,241.89 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Golden Knights | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.76 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights | 55c | 5,972$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.95 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Golden Knights | 52c | 5,292$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.82 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Canadiens | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 5,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Canadiens | 49c | 4,345$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.94 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Canadiens | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Canadiens | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Golden Knights | 50c | 3,649$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.85 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Canadiens | 38c | 3,388$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.39 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Golden Knights | 37c | 3,311$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.4 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Canadiens | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…58bbbacked Canadiens | 49c | 3,073$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…c084backed Canadiens | 49c | 3,000$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Canadiens | 62c | 2,962$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.85 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 50c | 2,910$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.94 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Canadiens | 55c | 2,375$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.73 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 2,149$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.64 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2281…259bbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 2,125$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Golden Knights | 51c | 2,100$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.38 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98c8…4bc3backed Golden Knights | 52c | 2,068$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Canadiens | 47c | 2,043$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…3697backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,996$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…b9f6backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,967$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.56 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97a5…134abacked Golden Knights | 51c | 1,967$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,936$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.87 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfae…ea47backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,904$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…21b8backed Golden Knights | 50c | 1,900$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,896$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.1 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3324…c3c1backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,886$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc9…f9f5backed Golden Knights | 52c | 1,866$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Golden Knights | 51c | 1,747$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.8 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Golden Knights | 44c | 1,619$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.38 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canadiens | 60c | 1,509$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.93 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Golden Knights | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,471$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.32 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,464$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.8 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…41f8backed Golden Knights | 43c | 1,419$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…575fbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 1,398$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Canadiens | 34c | 1,281$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.71 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,270$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.8 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…9ea3backed Canadiens | 47c | 1,259$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.04 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,130$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.9 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…4c60backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,120$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Golden Knights | 67c | 1,119$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea3b…fafdbacked Canadiens | 48c | 1,119$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,100$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2589…0770backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,051$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Golden Knights | 50c | 1,044$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.41 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Golden Knights | 12c | 1,026$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.1 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +79%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Canadiens | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,000$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.02 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Canadiens | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Canadiens | 47c | 990.24$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.83 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…c397backed Golden Knights | 53c | 985$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208e…22a5backed Golden Knights | 52c | 925.46$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Golden Knights | 5c | 900$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Golden Knights | 51c | 889.14$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.82 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Golden Knights | 39c | 861.64$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.47 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Canadiens | 49c | 835$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.79 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Canadiens | 48c | 803$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.56 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Golden Knights | 53c | 792.45$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Canadiens | 49c | 788$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.88 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…480bbacked Canadiens | 48c | 779.23$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.2 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canadiens | 54c | 771.2$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.6 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…761cbacked Canadiens | 33c | 770.16$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Canadiensthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Golden Knights won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.