TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf5fe…b52d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST362.8%1 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-74.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$405
Ethereum all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$296.69
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$201
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$153.73
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$38.34
Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$456.11
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$675
Will Solana reach $250 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.09
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$120.3
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Solana reach $200 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Solana reach $190 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$310
Will Solana reach $210 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$67.17
Will Solana reach $220 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$31.66
Will Solana reach $260 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100.15
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.76
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Capitals vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Stars vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Panthers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Krakenbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+1,090.5%+$229
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Red Wings vs. Wildbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Flyers vs. Utahbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Maple Leafs vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Wild vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick19cpaid+215%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25.2%+$3.21
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.25
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+669.2%+$174
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+847.5%+$295.98
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Heat vs. Suns: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$31.99
Celtics vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+900%+$135
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+837.5%+$134
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.75
FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.47
RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+1,321.8%+$139.45
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11
VfL Wolfsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick8cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+444.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+156.4%+$18.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Cbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.