TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof Team Falcons, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$237,860
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$286,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,860 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons33c12,335$4,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,035.23,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Team Falcons51c8,720$4,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,447.1772453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Team Falcons24c8,046$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.2867041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Team Falcons27c7,699$2,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.8722927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed PARIVISION46c6,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.9835254%190 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x334e…26f1backed PARIVISION49c5,900$2,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,003.92661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Falcons11c5,430$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.792,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked PARIVISION47c4,240$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.660540%242 W · 363 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Falcons43c4,129$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.571,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed PARIVISION76c4,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96064652.8%341 W · 305 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Team Falcons59c3,700$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,182.9820249.5%100 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked Team Falcons42c3,241$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.1411452.6%60 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed PARIVISION72c3,051$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.7239468%268 W · 126 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6f6…68eabacked PARIVISION45c3,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.994100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+204.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Team Falcons53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed PARIVISION48c2,980$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.7819455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons32c2,896$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.921,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb15…cbdabacked Team Falcons54c2,574$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3906654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked PARIVISION47c2,481$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.8526045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION54c2,033$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.433,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked PARIVISION46c1,952$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.236953.6%37 W · 32 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed PARIVISION72c1,950$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.4913043.1%56 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons53c1,764$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.591,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa090…9854backed Team Falcons12c1,691$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007238.9%28 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67c4…f0a4backed PARIVISION49c1,645$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.313937.4%52 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Team Falcons10c1,554$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Team Falcons27c1,544$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.1662137.7%234 W · 387 L-23.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Team Falcons23c1,499$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34257422.5%129 W · 445 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Team Falcons42c1,266$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.065234.6%18 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Team Falcons28c1,200$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Team Falcons40c1,136$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.292,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Falcons52c1,113$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.739353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Team Falcons25c1,100$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.883330.3%10 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0356…fd34backed PARIVISION59c1,093$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed Team Falcons66c1,091$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.221553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked PARIVISION47c1,057$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.4683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION47c1,031$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.341,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed PARIVISION48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5209442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked Team Falcons56c946$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.6611241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2f9…cfd8backed PARIVISION61c913.68$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.286643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7b0…bd69backed PARIVISION46c873.61$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.61850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed PARIVISION60c835$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33434156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Team Falcons33c812.88$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6112752%66 W · 61 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x866f…d410backed PARIVISION25c800$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6006521.5%14 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked PARIVISION80c752.14$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.144944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0114…22a6backed PARIVISION68c711.48$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.132951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Team Falcons51c663.73$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.429235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb855…3332backed Team Falcons41c642.48$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.619832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed PARIVISION45c622.84$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.3497240.7%396 W · 576 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed Team Falcons33c620$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.715812.1%7 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION50c608.8$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.861,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed PARIVISION49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30624649.6%122 W · 124 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed PARIVISION48c591.18$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.4115743.3%68 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Team Falcons30c575.12$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.229128.5%83 W · 208 L-30.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9777…6b53backed PARIVISION47c553.66$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4419732.5%64 W · 133 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked PARIVISION47c532.16$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.1615255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked Team Falcons52c524.99$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.9926553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc598…b4acbacked Team Falcons53c499.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.996237.1%23 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbbe…9fb7backed PARIVISION44c484.85$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.3115153%80 W · 71 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons53c472.64$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.560953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Team Falcons16c449.39$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.981,54833.9%524 W · 1,024 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed PARIVISION48c437.25$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.376246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafa3…0915backed PARIVISION49c408.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.494955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4de…00b4backed Team Falcons30c400.19$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208457.1%48 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9e…02b7backed Team Falcons37c400$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed PARIVISION75c390.13$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7458961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Team Falcons52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ab6…ee04backed PARIVISION72c370.01$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.62955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9936…1d7dbacked PARIVISION43c359.26$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.122420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-40.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Team Falcons30c357.78$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10823940.2%96 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Team Falcons66c353.63$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.42060%12 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5fe…b52dbacked Team Falcons5c350$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19450%2 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+444.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed PARIVISION48c350$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1825,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Team Falcons54c333$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.829260.9%56 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc14d…f137backed Team Falcons62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008146.9%38 W · 43 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Team Falcons20c305.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.198416.7%14 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Team Falcons31c299.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935738.6%22 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked PARIVISION34c291.65$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.4952834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Team Falcons43c278.63$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee9d…85f1backed PARIVISION74c273$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.12759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked PARIVISION47c260$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.812153.7%65 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ab…3a19backed Team Falcons44c240$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.65345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89bc…3b02backed PARIVISION49c239.04$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+79.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c64…5e45backed Team Falcons6c232.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.141931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-42.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Team Falcons52c229.17$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1797230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Team Falcons22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037850.3%190 W · 188 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9160…de3dbacked Team Falcons41c222.95$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9118040.6%73 W · 107 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Team Falcons54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78ab…6fcdbacked Team Falcons54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011348.7%55 W · 58 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Team Falcons42c219.29$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.19144%40 W · 51 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed PARIVISION37c216.46$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.4163541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked PARIVISION48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3353859.3%319 W · 219 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked PARIVISION38c206.55$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0635341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fc5…197fbacked PARIVISION72c202.17$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.612352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed PARIVISION47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1065048%24 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1be…a7f6backed PARIVISION29c199.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.992334.8%8 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick20cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed PARIVISION46c197.98$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9123852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a5f…e63cbacked PARIVISION75c196.47$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Team Falcons52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005961%36 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.