TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5ab6…ee04

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ENCE (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$109.15
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs illwill (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$210.17
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.3%+$333.42
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+78.4%+$468.1
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+34.4%+$139.18
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+33.4%+$101.25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$392
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.88
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+27.6%+$55.34
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+38.5%+$136.39
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+39%+$237.16
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$222.67
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$530.76
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+27.6%+$129.97
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+31.2%+$380.42
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$105.41
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+32%+$340.23
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+55%+$377.96
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+38.9%+$103.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$837Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$837.03
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.63
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$86
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+233.3%+$116.67
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$388.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+143.9%+$118
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$114
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.