NFL · resolved market
Falcons vs. Saints
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1464e1fe9b739dd84a41212e1e58d7c7c2b376a3f7f91ac8cf5342c5c0bfc947
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falconsof Falcons, Saints
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,090,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,484,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,090,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 614 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Saints | 57c | 794,693$450,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450,173.3 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed Saints | 53c | 566,038$300,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300,000.04 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Falcons | 47c | 514,147$240,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274,096.91 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Falcons | 55c | 250,000$137,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,500 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Falcons | 47c | 245,640$114,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130,764.48 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Falcons | 43c | 168,501$73,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,413.52 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Falcons | 43c | 138,642$59,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,025.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Falcons | 43c | 77,777$33,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,110.67 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Falcons | 47c | 70,000$32,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,100 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Falcons | 44c | 60,811$26,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,347.39 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Falcons | 47c | 55,000$25,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,150 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Falcons | 48c | 35,097$16,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,419.38 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Falcons | 76c | 28,940$21,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,079.15 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Falcons | 45c | 28,800$12,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,807.99 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Saints | 30c | 23,492$7,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,085.61 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Saints | 54c | 22,875$12,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,352.39 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Falcons | 45c | 22,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,100 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Saints | 0c | 18,300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Saints | 36c | 17,036$6,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,117.98 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Falcons | 45c | 15,909$7,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,750.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Saints | 48c | 15,750$7,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,512.16 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Falcons | 45c | 15,518$6,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,572.93 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Saints | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Saints | 54c | 14,045$7,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,639.93 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Saints | 53c | 12,767$6,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,716.49 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Saints | 52c | 12,500$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Saints | 39c | 11,666$4,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,535.31 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efc…478fbacked Saints | 1c | 11,536$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Saints | 53c | 11,110$5,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,832.74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Saints | 35c | 10,329$3,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,590.17 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Falcons | 48c | 10,201$4,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,304.28 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Saints | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Falcons | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Falcons | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Saints | 36c | 9,017$3,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230.75 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Falcons | 49c | 8,845$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,555.18 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Falcons | 46c | 8,736$3,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,749.57 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…83d8backed Saints | 36c | 8,329$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Falcons | 44c | 8,000$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,511.7 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Falcons | 67c | 7,966$5,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.05 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Saints | 33c | 7,413$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.45 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Falcons | 48c | 7,292$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.67 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…e215backed Falcons | 60c | 7,181$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Falcons | 48c | 7,044$3,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,663.08 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Saints | 29c | 7,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Falcons | 44c | 6,875$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870.45 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…1d96backed Falcons | 67c | 6,770$4,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Falcons | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.99 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Falcons | 47c | 5,957$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.45 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Saints | 56c | 5,329$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Saints | 1c | 5,264$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Falcons | 48c | 5,040$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…e1d9backed Falcons | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Saints | 52c | 4,924$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.48 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Falcons | 57c | 4,724$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.7 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Falcons | 59c | 4,707$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.32 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Falcons | 47c | 4,478$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.34 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Falcons | 69c | 4,080$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.15 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Falcons | 45c | 4,070$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.38 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Saints | 54c | 4,011$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Saints | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Saints | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Falcons | 46c | 3,874$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Falcons | 46c | 3,870$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.57 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd6…5ebabacked Falcons | 46c | 3,600$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5826…b3cbbacked Saints | 55c | 3,600$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8471…9594backed Saints | 0c | 3,556$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Falcons | 55c | 3,547$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.01 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Falcons | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Saints | 54c | 3,393$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.96 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Falcons | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.15 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Saints | 50c | 3,296$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.92 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Saints | 53c | 3,124$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.33 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Falcons | 63c | 3,110$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.5 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Falcons | 47c | 3,100$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…5f30backed Saints | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…1fb3backed Saints | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Saints | 54c | 3,000$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.91 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Falcons | 45c | 2,973$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.15 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Saints | 54c | 2,684$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.88 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Saints | 50c | 2,549$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.84 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Falcons | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Saints | 25c | 2,483$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.64 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Saints | 0c | 2,403$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Falcons | 78c | 2,299$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.85 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Falcons | 67c | 2,250$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.14 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Falcons | 62c | 2,224$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.17 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Saints | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c98…b6abbacked Saints | 54c | 2,050$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Falcons | 62c | 2,023$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…ea82backed Saints | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4feb…dd3bbacked Falcons | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Falcons | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Falcons | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Saints | 47c | 1,996$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.12 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058b…1cd1backed Saints | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fc66backed Falcons | 46c | 1,876$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9be…a7edbacked Saints | 55c | 1,876$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb7…3893backed Falcons | 47c | 1,850$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…c2b5backed Saints | 53c | 1,846$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Falcons vs. Saintsthis page
- Falcons vs. Saints: 1H MoneylineFalcons won
- Falcons vs. Saints: 1H O/U 19.5Over won
- Falcons vs. Saints: 1H O/U 20.5Over won
- Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 38.5Under won
- Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 39.5Under won
- Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 40.5Under won
- Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 41.5Under won
- Spread: Falcons (-2.5)Falcons won
- Spread: Falcons (-3.5)Falcons won
- Spread: Saints (-1.5)Falcons won
- Spread: Saints (-2.5)Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.