NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e59974e00dcb8857a84aa7214af18ccba1173c3204ef95e70b789cdd5dbfd40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 595 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Wizards | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Raptors | 74c | 5,803$4,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.54 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Wizards | 34c | 4,967$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Raptors | 63c | 4,719$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.15 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Raptors | 68c | 4,576$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.53 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Wizards | 36c | 3,211$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.85 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wizards | 37c | 3,056$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.82 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Wizards | 22c | 3,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.1 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Raptors | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wizards | 27c | 2,902$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.13 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Raptors | 65c | 2,859$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Wizards | 35c | 2,858$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.28 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 34c | 2,832$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.12 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wizards | 17c | 2,111$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.27 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Wizards | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Raptors | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.15 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 31c | 1,289$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.42 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 2c | 1,221$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wizards | 36c | 1,134$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.2 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Raptors | 41c | 1,080$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.06 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Raptors | 68c | 935.83$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.96 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Wizards | 18c | 805.46$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.26 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Raptors | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Wizards | 16c | 683$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Wizards | 35c | 639.88$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.96 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 36c | 603.09$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.25 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…eb2dbacked Raptors | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Wizards | 33c | 530.76$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.15 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Raptors | 64c | 432.78$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.6 | 107 | 69.2%74 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Raptors | 79c | 426.94$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Wizards | 48c | 414.28$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.85 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f27ebacked Wizards | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wizards | 53c | 393.4$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.62 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Wizards | 36c | 333$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Wizards | 37c | 321.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.14 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Raptors | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…f7a8backed Wizards | 36c | 297.22$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 35c | 285.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Wizards | 34c | 249.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Wizards | 35c | 249.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Wizards | 37c | 247.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards | 27c | 239.4$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Wizards | 32c | 236.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Raptors | 74c | 221.38$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Raptors | 70c | 211$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Raptors | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8194…22adbacked Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…f03cbacked Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…7010backed Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…b903backed Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…d1bfbacked Raptors | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…b885backed Raptors | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 60cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…a721backed Raptors | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…3943backed Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…f7a9backed Raptors | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…c984backed Raptors | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49af…c3eabacked Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…d8cebacked Raptors | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…07d2backed Raptors | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…1ab1backed Raptors | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…3576backed Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…8f43backed Raptors | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ac…9105backed Raptors | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…1698backed Raptors | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9e…54a8backed Raptors | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…bd7bbacked Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…4fbdbacked Raptors | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…3d87backed Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…998bbacked Raptors | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…c687backed Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…2764backed Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…5bbbbacked Raptors | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bf…23c5backed Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…0232backed Raptors | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6637…bfeebacked Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…13efbacked Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7da…de45backed Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…d992backed Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…64a7backed Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35cf…e1ddbacked Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…e23fbacked Raptors | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…8141backed Raptors | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80ad…a26cbacked Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…5e30backed Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…6d7dbacked Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x123c…37e9backed Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6830…32f5backed Raptors | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2943…80bbbacked Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…1349backed Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x560d…a39abacked Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf087…499fbacked Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…bb21backed Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e89…1f66backed Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 47cpaid | -64%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d03…5fbabacked Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5b…cd49backed Raptors | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…b354backed Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -72%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x374d…49f2backed Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf88e…7212backed Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6de7…93c8backed Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…bb28backed Wizards | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Wizardsthis page
- Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Wizards (-5.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.