TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, Natus Vincere
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$347,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$375,494

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,057 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb083…b3f0backed FURIA61c46,110$28,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,082.9121645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Natus Vincere42c32,484$13,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,684.648446.4%39 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Natus Vincere39c30,731$11,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,985.099942.4%42 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Natus Vincere45c28,990$13,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,045.5411146.8%52 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed FURIA60c25,155$15,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,997.1725842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Natus Vincere44c24,221$10,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,654.4761338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA55c18,366$10,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,307.9883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Natus Vincere46c15,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,90045848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eed…5a28backed Natus Vincere39c13,177$5,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,137.369329%27 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed FURIA55c13,071$7,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,824.7711655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Natus Vincere40c12,130$4,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,851.8416449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed FURIA55c11,111$6,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,999.9488242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked FURIA46c9,398$4,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.9860953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked FURIA60c8,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2002729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d2…2280backed FURIA60c7,500$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0001060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed FURIA59c7,218$4,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,959.2219660.7%119 W · 77 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA47c6,725$3,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,542.411,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked FURIA60c5,000$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.92862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x488b…cc50backed Natus Vincere71c3,962$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.931136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98b1…d855backed FURIA55c3,903$2,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.496041.7%25 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc2e…41a7backed FURIA27c3,859$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800.352268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+58.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9b16…0dc4backed Natus Vincere72c3,189$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.795459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed FURIA29c2,697$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.7985446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff4…eaf3backed FURIA37c2,668$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.2911428.1%32 W · 82 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere39c2,549$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.0981751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5019…74cdbacked FURIA56c2,407$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.6611630.2%35 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Natus Vincere40c2,296$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.9532425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Natus Vincere45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002050%10 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Natus Vincere70c2,143$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011746.2%54 W · 63 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed FURIA40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2009215.2%14 W · 78 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Natus Vincere56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12081244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8465…6bbdbacked FURIA51c1,988$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.149541.1%39 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d9…4d8bbacked FURIA61c1,968$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.5215452.6%81 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Natus Vincere56c1,912$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.1427345.8%125 W · 148 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Natus Vincere40c1,891$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.3823852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed FURIA41c1,875$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.244736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41d…8fe1backed FURIA37c1,626$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Natus Vincere65c1,582$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.2513050%65 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bab…1292backed FURIA60c1,559$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc70e…7cd6backed Natus Vincere36c1,547$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5584242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed FURIA21c1,492$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.0796545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Natus Vincere39c1,481$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.537646.1%35 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed FURIA37c1,462$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.7913353.4%71 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16f0…a28dbacked Natus Vincere64c1,440$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.725565.5%36 W · 19 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8156…27c2backed FURIA41c1,389$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.43548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked FURIA51c1,187$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.5626351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked FURIA18c1,108$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.8924440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked FURIA55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.9198052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x877e…b283backed FURIA59c1,082$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.526350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1952…c5c8backed FURIA45c1,081$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.87757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed FURIA60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40028351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Natus Vincere40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013954.7%76 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7c…5947backed Natus Vincere47c994.19$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.278629.1%25 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked FURIA36c910$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58535341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbaa9…e525backed FURIA40c882.47$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+48%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed Natus Vincere37c849.11$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.6715749%77 W · 80 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2a3…911ebacked FURIA60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.33742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd225…5c13backed Natus Vincere37c799.99$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FURIA54c792.99$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.4258651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA58c700$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2941,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79a7…88c8backed FURIA45c660.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Natus Vincere67c654.45$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.4422056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere39c641.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked Natus Vincere58c596.37$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.247055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked FURIA42c589.5$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.9110947.7%52 W · 57 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac9a…7ccebacked Natus Vincere52c554.79$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed FURIA46c554.53$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.9928344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed FURIA36c522.22$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.226657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+29.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed FURIA59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20514148.9%69 W · 72 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cbb…fc88backed Natus Vincere40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008137%30 W · 51 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed FURIA61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.825252.8%133 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6beb…389fbacked Natus Vincere40c491.65$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.66825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid+66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9395…38edbacked Natus Vincere42c474.47$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.28812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA80c470.99$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.031,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d13…a252backed FURIA51c466.43$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.651921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-49.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18ea…f93bbacked FURIA48c422.92$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.922560%15 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5206…0f4cbacked FURIA34c394.23$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.7726535.5%94 W · 171 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed FURIA60c387.5$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15560853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA71c376.78$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.271,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked FURIA79c354.43$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.436564.6%42 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed FURIA59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9813740.9%56 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3cd3backed FURIA52c285.89$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8922560.4%136 W · 89 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Natus Vincere41c285.17$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9220856.3%117 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb861…27ffbacked Natus Vincere59c284.56$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1675341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed FURIA59c284.5$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2421639.8%86 W · 130 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f1…f301backed FURIA50c279.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9920157.7%116 W · 85 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b33…9b98backed FURIA62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958050%40 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Natus Vincere39c249.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4925941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed FURIA61c247.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2714952.3%78 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4023…2158backed FURIA61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1004…9b8fbacked Natus Vincere29c243.5$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf4…bde0backed Natus Vincere79c239.66$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc63f…8032backed FURIA42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed FURIA61c213$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0763345.2%286 W · 347 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere69c203.88$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.181,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked FURIA57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Natus Vincere63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12615441.6%64 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b8…5d35backed Natus Vincere27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5436437.4%136 W · 228 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed FURIA58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8410055%55 W · 45 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c3e…8b58backed Natus Vincere9c200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.