TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d13…a252

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT4852.1%25 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.93
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+158.9%+$158.59
Bulls vs. Clippersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.02
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$135.31
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$249.54
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+222.6%+$442.07
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+85.2%+$105.27
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+194.1%+$194.12
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$105.41
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$235.81
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$380.92
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+151.1%+$191.35
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+100%+$127.19
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$104.51
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+145.2%+$290.43
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+47.4%+$58.17
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$99.31
Cavaliers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$35.71
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+108.3%+$169.86
Nets vs. Pacersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+138.1%+$120.06
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-49.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.36
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.01
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.69
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$267.18
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)backed HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.94
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.85
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.85
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+165%+$209.37
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.4
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$118
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$149.38
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$218.59
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+96.2%+$228.65
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$422.89
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$129.5
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$153.58
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$121.61
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$279.37
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+150%+$150
Rolex Paris Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Rolex Paris Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$584.18
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Flavio Cobollibacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$100.75
Erste Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Zverevbacked Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.7
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.17
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$248.72
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+56.3%+$179.61
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$68.38
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$173.6
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+88.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+148.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$300.86
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$378.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.18
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,647.86
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$91.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$122.84
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zohran Mamdani Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$115.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$165.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$215.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok sale announced before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.