NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff7939db48e90b36b99ad0fd670fdc4a6b3ff38221353423032a77149f9fc7e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Over | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 52c | 1,468$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.64 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 1,213$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.53 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Under | 53c | 1,085$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.95 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 51c | 910$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.1 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 49c | 757.1$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.98 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 654.34$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Under | 53c | 435.85$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.85 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 303$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 303$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.56 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d13…a252backed Over | 43c | 243.05$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.51 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 8c | 158.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0854…fb45backed Over | 49c | 120.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8871…5163backed Over | 44c | 104.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1c…782bbacked Over | 44c | 101.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 51c | 92.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 49c | 92.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a00abacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 52c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c4…8a65backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 47c | 31.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- Rockets vs. NetsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.