NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 221.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x672ddd5a7ae04c6007ae3ad808a590897f969f3c0b0109c54db37f37fc8a8bd6

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $125,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $133,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,822 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	51c	10,040$5,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,114.59	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2e5…eec3backed Under	49c	8,500$4,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,335	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb9…2396backed Over	51c	8,500$4,335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,335	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+3.7wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa75d…1246backed Under	49c	8,400$4,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,284	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37f1…d157backed Over	51c	8,400$4,284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,284	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd49…4b3bbacked Under	49c	8,400$4,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,284	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+2.9wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf04f…103dbacked Over	51c	8,400$4,284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,284	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+4.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe971…350cbacked Under	48c	8,300$3,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,316	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d30…c94fbacked Over	52c	8,300$4,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,316	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-3.3wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2cea…3ba8backed Over	51c	8,000$4,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,080	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x710a…ed6cbacked Under	49c	8,000$3,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,080	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48a9…cd76backed Under	48c	7,950$3,816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,134	32	65.6%21 W · 11 L	+4.7wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43dc…2353backed Over	52c	7,950$4,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,134	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1c5…5c0dbacked Under	49c	7,900$3,871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,029	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f5e…9bd5backed Over	51c	7,900$4,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,029	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d04…9435backed Under	48c	7,800$3,744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,056	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+3.9wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7432…d7d5backed Over	52c	7,800$4,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,056	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed Under	48c	6,420$3,082 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,338.62	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over	14c	5,325$727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$726.96	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0352…3292backed Under	54c	5,000$2,675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,324.89	101	58.4%59 W · 42 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over	28c	5,000$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	483	47.2%228 W · 255 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95d4…c38cbacked Under	72c	5,000$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,400	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under	49c	4,866$2,384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,481.58	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	53c	2,980$1,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,579	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Under	48c	2,360$1,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,227.42	121	51.2%62 W · 59 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Under	47c	2,000$940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,060	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under	49c	1,429$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.57	254	52.8%134 W · 120 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Over	44c	1,136$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	210	55.2%116 W · 94 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over	46c	786$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.56	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	52c	752.96$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.27	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over	46c	629$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.34	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	55c	481.67$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.73	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over	42c	476.68$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	147	42.2%62 W · 85 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Over	44c	450$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	130	40%52 W · 78 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	52c	410.37$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.46	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under	48c	300$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Over	46c	280$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.8	73	41.1%30 W · 43 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under	59c	250$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.5	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Over	42c	237.27$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.6	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.16per pick	44cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Over	46c	218$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.28	102	35.3%36 W · 66 L	-9.7wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x14f5…eb92backed Over	43c	210.97$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.21	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Under	50c	210$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under	48c	200$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	403	46.2%186 W · 217 L	+9.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x780c…7921backed Over	45c	180$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	-6.0wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Over	46c	173.91$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	332	46.1%153 W · 179 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	20c	165$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.57	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01af…f34ebacked Over	47c	150$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.5	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-5.9wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under	57c	149.12$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.7	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed Over	45c	133.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	114	40.4%46 W · 68 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	47c	116.8$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.9	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Over	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	81	32.1%26 W · 55 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over	41c	101.04$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	745	47.2%352 W · 393 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Under	55c	99.99$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Under	49c	96.7$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.15	210	56.2%118 W · 92 L	+10.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	42c	94.37$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over	42c	93.78$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.8	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	54c	86.6$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.15	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Over	47c	85.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	340	50.3%171 W · 169 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over	42c	84.05$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	337	30.3%102 W · 235 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1206…eaeebacked Over	46c	78.57$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.14	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	58c	74.66$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.15	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…3e20backed Over	26c	66.32$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.98	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	54c	62.59$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.76	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under	47c	57.5$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.55	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Over	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	516	51.2%264 W · 252 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Under	58c	55.88$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.47	199	57.8%115 W · 84 L	+18.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under	54c	54$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.84	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under	74c	50.22$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.22	637	45.8%292 W · 345 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Over	43c	46.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.83	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45fb…1289backed Over	44c	45.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.05	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Over	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b89…f3a9backed Over	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed Over	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	99	41.4%41 W · 58 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07bd…5d79backed Over	41c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8b9…7b8dbacked Over	53c	37.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over	44c	27.27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	121	49.6%60 W · 61 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x874b…5bdfbacked Over	45c	23$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	58c	19.41$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.09	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22db…a398backed Under	80c	16.24$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.25	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	72cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 221.5this page
1H Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
1H Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
Rockets vs. NetsRockets won
Rockets vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Rockets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 218.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Under won
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Rockets won
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Rockets won
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Rockets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 221.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event