NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77eafd06eb55bef8fb7c0d3c63bec9f0fc29a17c4e2288dac78e35dcceb77e4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 8,327$4,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,083.6 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…540abacked Under | 55c | 4,851$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.91 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +59%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 4,516$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.37 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 51c | 1,618$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.65 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 1,388$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.76 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 46c | 1,344$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.64 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 10c | 920.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.28 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 847$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.62 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…9c4bbacked Over | 52c | 711.13$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.79 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 672.85$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.88 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 565.89$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.46 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 51c | 375$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.63 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 46c | 310.11$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.05 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Under | 54c | 252.76$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.27 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 46c | 134.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…7025backed Over | 52c | 97.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 82.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…dfd2backed Over | 45c | 78.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Under | 70c | 75.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…d1e1backed Under | 78c | 70.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…92e3backed Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -72%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 53c | 60.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…09bbbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbb…1a0dbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 47c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a00abacked Over | 51c | 49.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 40.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c4…8a65backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 52c | 33.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 47c | 31.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Under | 50c | 29.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…6207backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 218.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- Rockets vs. NetsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.