TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72cf…09bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.71
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$85
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$87
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.2
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25.9
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Bulls vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$12.6
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$532.37
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$27.54
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$106.75
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,094Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+96.4%+$1,054.11
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$313.43
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$96.78
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$192.77
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18.4
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.2
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
Heat vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.4
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$42.54
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.64
Lightning vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.57
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.53
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$61.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$198
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KaBuM! IDL win CD 2026 Split 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$27.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 4.20 released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$74.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cap launch a token by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$131.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.