NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bdbc14f0d2320b23c89b1c05410dbd9aaac2b5aa102d762467e30640daab800
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 9,719$4,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,858.12 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 6,449$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,096.6 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 3,996$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.77 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 2,792$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.68 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 2,002$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.98 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.99 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 51c | 1,160$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.32 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 43c | 1,032$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.92 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 877.74$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.04 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 52c | 795.98$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.07 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 46c | 757.76$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 695.31$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 46c | 565.22$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 50c | 466$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 57c | 361.23$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Under | 55c | 314.22$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 306.24$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.27 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 298$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Under | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 265.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.07 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 45c | 234.45$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.63 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Under | 56c | 233.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Over | 47c | 212.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecf…57efbacked Under | 50c | 176.2$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked Under | 58c | 129.62$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…f9b3backed Under | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…1e27backed Under | 48c | 121.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 46c | 111.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6910…8da8backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc00f…0f52backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…b7b8backed Over | 47c | 89.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 54c | 89.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 57c | 83.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…09bbbacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 49c | 30.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 44c | 28.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8023…332abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5this page
- Bucks vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Bucks vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.