NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49c1f2645aab5d8900bb52bdfa81dcfe4dfa9187750723a9b659da576ade8a43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Bucks, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,977,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,026,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,977,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Bucks | 66c | 781,111$519,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519,107.94 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Nuggets | 38c | 428,631$161,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266,859.93 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Nuggets | 33c | 201,176$66,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,764.36 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Nuggets | 34c | 200,000$67,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,000 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Bucks | 59c | 113,886$67,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,637.22 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bucks | 60c | 51,512$30,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,719.66 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Nuggets | 33c | 44,998$14,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,148.98 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Nuggets | 40c | 43,650$17,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,049.5 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 43,110$21,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,445.24 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bucks | 60c | 40,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,999.96 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 71c | 36,908$26,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,658.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 41c | 35,693$14,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,015.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Bucks | 57c | 35,430$20,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,195.02 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bucks | 56c | 35,419$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Bucks | 0c | 33,826$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bucks | 2c | 31,744$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.85 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 33c | 31,645$10,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,202.24 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bucks | 61c | 25,342$15,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,458.38 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Nuggets | 61c | 25,020$15,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,681.12 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Nuggets | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 44c | 22,653$10,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,590.5 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 45c | 22,477$10,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,442.49 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Nuggets | 69c | 21,716$14,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,732.26 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Nuggets | 41c | 20,877$8,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,420.89 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nuggets | 43c | 20,814$8,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,850.54 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Bucks | 55c | 20,060$11,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,033 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Nuggets | 45c | 20,040$8,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,067.34 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Bucks | 59c | 19,071$11,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,251.79 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Nuggets | 36c | 18,494$6,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,830.93 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Nuggets | 41c | 18,000$7,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,620 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Bucks | 60c | 18,000$10,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,879.99 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Nuggets | 44c | 16,152$7,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,045.21 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 21c | 15,755$3,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,281.22 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks | 1c | 15,092$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.63 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks | 15c | 14,360$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.19 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Bucks | 32c | 14,257$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Bucks | 55c | 13,858$7,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,621.74 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nuggets | 43c | 13,000$5,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,436.14 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Nuggets | 74c | 12,229$9,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.51 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Bucks | 60c | 11,943$7,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,165.76 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Nuggets | 79c | 11,937$9,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.26 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Bucks | 55c | 11,857$6,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,567.4 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bucks | 66c | 11,454$7,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,556.12 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 61c | 10,956$6,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,684.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Nuggets | 40c | 10,700$4,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,433 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bucks | 46c | 10,509$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,880.01 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bucks | 24c | 10,109$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.51 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Bucks | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Nuggets | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Bucks | 57c | 9,780$5,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,574.82 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks | 62c | 9,584$5,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,942.52 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Bucks | 27c | 9,243$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Bucks | 58c | 9,180$5,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,324.4 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Nuggets | 41c | 8,800$3,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,232 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bucks | 55c | 8,505$4,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,677.97 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks | 0c | 8,500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Nuggets | 45c | 8,000$3,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,406.17 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Nuggets | 40c | 8,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Bucks | 64c | 7,767$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…9ff6backed Bucks | 26c | 7,625$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Bucks | 29c | 7,545$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.06 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Nuggets | 36c | 7,500$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Nuggets | 44c | 7,485$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,209.53 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Bucks | 55c | 7,200$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Nuggets | 44c | 7,199$3,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,031.34 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Bucks | 58c | 7,146$4,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,153.44 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 47c | 7,080$3,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…06b1backed Bucks | 56c | 6,840$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bucks | 55c | 6,780$3,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,729 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbc…34d5backed Bucks | 18c | 6,545$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.27 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bucks | 30c | 6,398$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.45 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Nuggets | 40c | 6,209$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.03 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 63c | 6,009$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801.88 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bucks | 33c | 6,000$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.77 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Nuggets | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Nuggets | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,882.35 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 33c | 5,615$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.58 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Bucks | 68c | 5,602$3,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,823.07 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Bucks | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 37c | 5,333$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339.4 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…df78backed Bucks | 65c | 5,244$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.96 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Nuggets | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Bucks | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Nuggets | 72c | 4,666$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.87 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bucks | 56c | 4,654$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.69 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff60…8c1dbacked Nuggets | 45c | 4,600$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…0df3backed Nuggets | 45c | 4,600$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…17cdbacked Bucks | 55c | 4,480$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd962…1d5cbacked Nuggets | 78c | 4,386$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.07 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…d809backed Bucks | 57c | 4,379$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff7…4bb3backed Bucks | 48c | 4,152$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Bucks | 54c | 4,096$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.96 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Bucks | 56c | 4,040$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.55 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Nuggets | 75c | 3,980$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.98 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Nuggets | 25c | 3,936$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.5 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bucks | 55c | 3,900$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…1c15backed Bucks | 55c | 3,843$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.6 | 224 | 59.4%133 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Bucks | 52c | 3,733$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.74 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Bucks | 53c | 3,646$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.96 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Nuggetsthis page
- Bucks vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.